Portsmouth vs Lincoln: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 35Kick-off on March 3, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Fratton Park, Portsmouth
The Footlab model makes Lincoln the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Portsmouth. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Portsmouth vs Lincoln?
Lincoln starts as the favourite with a 123-point Elo edge (1,979 vs 1,856).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Portsmouth have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Lincoln have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lincoln(away) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | QPR(home) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | West Ham(away) | 1-3 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | SV Darmstadt 98(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Farnborough(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Blackpool(away) | 4-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Portsmouth(home) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Middlesbrough(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Derby(away) | 2-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Barnsley(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Portsmouth win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Lincoln win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lincoln 1-3 Portsmouth | Championship |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Lincoln 0-2 Portsmouth | League One |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Portsmouth 2-1 Lincoln | League One |
| Feb 18, 2023 | Lincoln 0-0 Portsmouth | League One |
| Aug 6, 2022 | Portsmouth 0-0 Lincoln | League One |
| Apr 15, 2022 | Portsmouth 3-2 Lincoln | League One |
Last archived meeting: Lincoln vs Portsmouth on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Portsmouth score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Lincoln score 1.6 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Lincoln | 1.6 | 1.7 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Portsmouth sit 10th in Championship (3 points from 2 matches) and Lincoln sit 22nd (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Portsmouth | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 22 | Lincoln | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Portsmouth vs Lincoln?
- The Footlab model makes Lincoln the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Portsmouth.
- Where and when is Portsmouth vs Lincoln played?
- Portsmouth vs Lincoln is played on March 3, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Fratton Park, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.