Portul Constanta vs Sporting Lieşti: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 4Group 4 - 13Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Sporting Lieşti the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Portul Constanta. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sporting Lieşti wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Portul Constanta vs Sporting Lieşti?
Sporting Lieşti starts as the favourite with a 191-point Elo edge (1,636 vs 1,445).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Portul Constanta vs Sporting Lieşti
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Portul Constanta
Not enough data to predict the Portul Constanta lineup.
Sporting Lieşti
4-3-3- 9Viorel Costea
- 7Valentin Munteanu
- 99Petrisor Voinea
- 6Bogdan Crihana
- 5Daniel Munchiu
- 11Alexandru Stan
- 77Claudiu Maftei
- 19Tudor Nastase
- 18S. Podasca
- 15P. Popa
- 1Giulio Munteanu
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 07:33 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 8 matches in all competitions, Portul Constanta have 1 win, 0 draws and 7 defeats; Sporting Lieşti have 9, 0 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Agricola Borcea(home) | 0-8 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | FC Oţelul II(away) | 1-2 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Dunarea Calarasi(home) | 1-2 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Înainte Modelu(away) | 3-4 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Agigea(home) | 0-1 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Progresul Fundulea(home) | 0-2 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Agricola Borcea(away) | 3-5 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | FC Oţelul II(home) | 6-1 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Dunarea Calarasi(away) | 2-3 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Înainte Modelu(home) | 5-4 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Portul Constanta wins, 0 draws, 1 Sporting Lieşti win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | Sporting Lieşti 6-0 Portul Constanta | Liga III - Serie 4 |
Last archived meeting: Sporting Lieşti vs Portul Constanta on Sep 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Portul Constanta score 1.4 and concede 3.3 goals per match over their last 8; Sporting Lieşti score 2.7 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portul Constanta | 1.4 | 3.3 | 1 | 4/8 | 7/8 |
| Sporting Lieşti | 2.7 | 2.1 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 8 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Portul Constanta sit 11th in Liga III - Serie 4 (3 points from 7 matches) and Sporting Lieşti sit 5th (12 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Sporting Lieşti | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 12 |
| 11 | Portul Constanta | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 18 | 3 |
A question about Portul Constanta vs Sporting Lieşti?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Portul Constanta vs Sporting Lieşti?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sporting Lieşti the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Portul Constanta.
- Where and when is Portul Constanta vs Sporting Lieşti played?
- Portul Constanta vs Sporting Lieşti is played on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the Liga III - Serie 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.