Agigea vs Gloria Băneasa: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 4Group 4 - 13Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Agigea, Agigea
The Footlab model makes Gloria Băneasa the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Agigea. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Agigea vs Gloria Băneasa?
A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Agigea (1,300) and Gloria Băneasa (1,334).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Agigea have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Gloria Băneasa have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Axiopolis(home) | 2-3 | Cupa României |
| May 16, 2026 | Progresul Fundulea(home) | 0-2 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| May 8, 2026 | FCSB II(away) | 0-3 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| May 1, 2026 | Dinamo Bucureşti II(home) | 1-1 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Voluntari II(away) | 0-1 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Dunarea Calarasi(home) | 1-3 | Cupa României |
| May 16, 2026 | Axiopolis(away) | 1-2 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| May 9, 2026 | Recolta Gheorghe Doja(home) | 1-5 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| May 2, 2026 | Voluntari II(home) | 3-0 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Progresul Fundulea(away) | 1-4 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Agigea win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Gloria Băneasa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Gloria Băneasa 0-1 Agigea | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Gloria Băneasa 2-1 Agigea | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Agigea 1-0 Gloria Băneasa | Liga III - Serie 3 |
Last archived meeting: Gloria Băneasa vs Agigea on Apr 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Agigea score 1.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Gloria Băneasa score 1.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Agigea | 1.1 | 1.6 | 2 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Gloria Băneasa | 1.1 | 2.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Agigea vs Gloria Băneasa?
- The Footlab model makes Gloria Băneasa the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Agigea.
- Where and when is Agigea vs Gloria Băneasa played?
- Agigea vs Gloria Băneasa is played on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Agigea, in the Liga III - Serie 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.