FC Oţelul II vs Progresul Fundulea: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 4Group 4 - 13Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Baza Sportivă Zoltan David, Galaţi
The Footlab AI model makes Progresul Fundulea the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for FC Oţelul II. The most likely score is 1-1. If Progresul Fundulea wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Oţelul II vs Progresul Fundulea?
Progresul Fundulea starts as the favourite with a 292-point Elo edge (1,578 vs 1,286).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for FC Oţelul II vs Progresul Fundulea
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
FC Oţelul II
Not enough data to predict the FC Oţelul II lineup.
Progresul Fundulea
Not enough data to predict the Progresul Fundulea lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 05:04 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Oţelul II have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Progresul Fundulea have 11, 0 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Agigea(away) | 2-2 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Portul Constanta(home) | 2-1 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Sporting Lieşti(away) | 1-6 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Gloria Băneasa(home) | 1-2 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Recolta Gheorghe Doja(away) | 1-2 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Sporting Lieşti(away) | 2-0 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Gloria Băneasa(home) | 2-1 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Recolta Gheorghe Doja(away) | 1-2 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Axiopolis(home) | 4-0 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Unirea Braniştea(away) | 2-4 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 FC Oţelul II wins, 0 draws, 1 Progresul Fundulea win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | Progresul Fundulea 4-1 FC Oţelul II | Liga III - Serie 4 |
Last archived meeting: Progresul Fundulea vs FC Oţelul II on Sep 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Oţelul II score 1.2 and concede 3.2 goals per match over their last 15; Progresul Fundulea score 2.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Oţelul II | 1.2 | 3.2 | 1 | 9/15 | 14/15 |
| Progresul Fundulea | 2.6 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Oţelul II sit 12th in Liga III - Serie 4 (3 points from 7 matches) and Progresul Fundulea sit 8th (9 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Progresul Fundulea | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 9 |
| 12 | FC Oţelul II | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 3 |
A question about FC Oţelul II vs Progresul Fundulea?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Oţelul II vs Progresul Fundulea?
- The Footlab AI model makes Progresul Fundulea the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for FC Oţelul II.
- Where and when is FC Oţelul II vs Progresul Fundulea played?
- FC Oţelul II vs Progresul Fundulea is played on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Baza Sportivă Zoltan David, in the Liga III - Serie 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.