AFC Leopards vs Tusker: prediction and stats
FKF Premier LeagueRegular Season - 10Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Nyayo National Stadium, Nairobi
The Footlab AI model makes AFC Leopards the favourite at 39%, against 32% for a draw and 29% for Tusker. The most likely score is 0-0. If AFC Leopards wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AFC Leopards vs Tusker?
A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate AFC Leopards (1,596) and Tusker (1,559).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for AFC Leopards vs Tusker
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
AFC Leopards
Not enough data to predict the AFC Leopards lineup.
Tusker
Not enough data to predict the Tusker lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 10:49 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AFC Leopards have 9 wins, 0 draws and 6 defeats; Tusker have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | Bidco United(home) | 1-2 | FKF Premier League |
| May 24, 2026 | APS Bomet(away) | 1-2 | FKF Premier League |
| May 16, 2026 | Homeboyz(away) | 2-1 | FKF Premier League |
| May 13, 2026 | Ulinzi Stars(away) | 2-0 | FKF Premier League |
| May 9, 2026 | Mara Sugar(home) | 2-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ulinzi Stars(away) | 2-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Al Ahli Wad Medani(home) | 1-0 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Al Ahli Wad Medani(away) | 2-2 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | KVZ(home) | 2-0 | CECAFA Club Cup |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Rayon Sports(home) | 0-1 | CECAFA Club Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 AFC Leopards wins, 2 draws, 1 Tusker win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | AFC Leopards 1-0 Tusker | FKF Premier League |
| Jan 11, 2026 | Tusker 0-4 AFC Leopards | FKF Premier League |
| May 3, 2025 | Tusker 0-0 AFC Leopards | FKF Premier League |
| Dec 11, 2024 | AFC Leopards 4-1 Tusker | FKF Premier League |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Tusker 1-0 AFC Leopards | FKF Premier League |
| Dec 4, 2023 | AFC Leopards 0-0 Tusker | FKF Premier League |
Last archived meeting: AFC Leopards vs Tusker on Mar 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
AFC Leopards score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Tusker score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 33% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFC Leopards | 1.4 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Tusker | 0.9 | 0.9 | 5 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tusker | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
A question about AFC Leopards vs Tusker?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AFC Leopards vs Tusker?
- The Footlab AI model makes AFC Leopards the favourite at 39%, against 32% for a draw and 29% for Tusker.
- Where and when is AFC Leopards vs Tusker played?
- AFC Leopards vs Tusker is played on November 7, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Nyayo National Stadium, in the FKF Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 33% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.