Where and when is Pozuelo Alarcón vs Cala Pozuelo played?

Pozuelo Alarcón vs Cala Pozuelo is played on May 2, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Valle de las Cañas, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Pozuelo Alarcón vs Cala Pozuelo: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 33Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Valle de las Cañas, Pozuelo de Alarcón

Pozuelo Alarcón

Cala Pozuelo

The Footlab model makes Pozuelo Alarcón the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Cala Pozuelo. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Pozuelo Alarcón vs Cala Pozuelo?

A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Pozuelo Alarcón (1,721) and Cala Pozuelo (1,707).

Pozuelo Alarcón win42 %

Draw28 %

Cala Pozuelo win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pozuelo Alarcón have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Cala Pozuelo have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Pozuelo Alarcón
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 15, 2026	Marchamalo(home)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
May 10, 2026	Tres Cantos(home)	3-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026	Carabanchel(away)	2-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 25, 2026	Móstoles(home)	2-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 19, 2026	SS Reyes II(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

Cala Pozuelo
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 11, 2025	Alcorcón II(home)	4-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 4, 2025	Galapagar(away)	5-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 27, 2025	Torrejón(away)	2-4	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 17, 2025	Trival Valderas(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 13, 2025	RSD Alcalá(away)	0-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

How many goals should we expect?

Pozuelo Alarcón score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Cala Pozuelo score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Pozuelo Alarcón	1.1	1.2	2	7/15	6/15
Cala Pozuelo	1.4	1.3	3	7/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
9	Pozuelo Alarcón	34	12	12	10	40	33	48

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Pozuelo Alarcón vs Cala Pozuelo?: The Footlab model makes Pozuelo Alarcón the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Cala Pozuelo.
Where and when is Pozuelo Alarcón vs Cala Pozuelo played?: Pozuelo Alarcón vs Cala Pozuelo is played on May 2, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Valle de las Cañas, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.