Where and when is Leganés II vs Pozuelo Alarcón played?

Leganés II vs Pozuelo Alarcón is played on May 9, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Anexo Butarque, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Leganés II vs Pozuelo Alarcón: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 34Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Anexo Butarque, Leganés

Leganés II

Pozuelo Alarcón

The Footlab model makes Leganés II the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Pozuelo Alarcón. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Leganés II vs Pozuelo Alarcón?

A very open match: only 83 Elo points separate Leganés II (1,803) and Pozuelo Alarcón (1,721).

Leganés II win47 %

Draw27 %

Pozuelo Alarcón win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leganés II have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Pozuelo Alarcón have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Leganés II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 12, 2026	Real Valladolid II(away)	3-3	Friendlies Clubs
May 24, 2026	Trival Valderas(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 17, 2026	Trival Valderas(home)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 10, 2026	Alcobendas Sport(home)	1-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026	Tres Cantos(away)	3-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

Pozuelo Alarcón
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 15, 2026	Marchamalo(home)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
May 10, 2026	Tres Cantos(home)	3-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026	Carabanchel(away)	2-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 25, 2026	Móstoles(home)	2-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 19, 2026	SS Reyes II(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Leganés II win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Pozuelo Alarcón win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 22, 2026	Pozuelo Alarcón 2-1 Leganés II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 12, 2025	Leganés II 3-0 Pozuelo Alarcón	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 21, 2024	Leganés II 0-1 Pozuelo Alarcón	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Dec 2, 2023	Pozuelo Alarcón 2-2 Leganés II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Aug 6, 2022	Pozuelo Alarcón 1-1 Leganés II	Friendlies Clubs
Dec 22, 2019	Leganés II 1-0 Pozuelo Alarcón	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

Last archived meeting: Pozuelo Alarcón vs Leganés II on Feb 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Leganés II score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Pozuelo Alarcón score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Leganés II	1.7	1.6	3	10/15	8/15
Pozuelo Alarcón	1.1	1.2	2	7/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Leganés II sit 5th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (55 points from 34 matches) and Pozuelo Alarcón sit 9th (48 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Leganés II	34	15	10	10	63	33	55
9	Pozuelo Alarcón	34	12	12	10	40	33	48

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Leganés II vs Pozuelo Alarcón?: The Footlab model makes Leganés II the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Pozuelo Alarcón.
Where and when is Leganés II vs Pozuelo Alarcón played?: Leganés II vs Pozuelo Alarcón is played on May 9, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Anexo Butarque, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.