Alcobendas Sport vs Colonia Moscardó: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 33Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campos Municipales Valle de la Oliva, Majadahonda
The Footlab model makes Colonia Moscardó the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Alcobendas Sport. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Alcobendas Sport vs Colonia Moscardó?
A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate Alcobendas Sport (1,718) and Colonia Moscardó (1,768).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alcobendas Sport have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Colonia Moscardó have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Leganés II(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 3, 2026 | Trival Valderas(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Torrejón(away) | 3-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | AD Parla(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Alcorcón II(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Intercity(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Navalcarnero(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 14, 2026 | Real Madrid III(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Orihuela(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Getafe II(away) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Alcobendas Sport win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Colonia Moscardó win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 12, 2024 | Colonia Moscardó 1-0 Alcobendas Sport | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Jan 21, 2024 | Alcobendas Sport 0-1 Colonia Moscardó | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Feb 27, 2022 | Colonia Moscardó 1-3 Alcobendas Sport | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 30, 2021 | Alcobendas Sport 1-2 Colonia Moscardó | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
Last archived meeting: Colonia Moscardó vs Alcobendas Sport on May 12, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Alcobendas Sport score 1.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Colonia Moscardó score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alcobendas Sport | 1.2 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Colonia Moscardó | 1.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Alcobendas Sport | 34 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 45 | 49 | 45 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Alcobendas Sport vs Colonia Moscardó?
- The Footlab model makes Colonia Moscardó the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Alcobendas Sport.
- Where and when is Alcobendas Sport vs Colonia Moscardó played?
- Alcobendas Sport vs Colonia Moscardó is played on May 2, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campos Municipales Valle de la Oliva, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.