Las Rozas vs Móstoles: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 33Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Polideportivo Dehesa de Navalcarbón 2, Las Rozas de Madrid
The Footlab AI model makes Las Rozas the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Móstoles. The most likely score is 1-1. If Las Rozas wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,797 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Las Rozas vs Móstoles?
A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Las Rozas (1,832) and Móstoles (1,805).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Las Rozas vs Móstoles
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Las Rozas
Not enough data to predict the Las Rozas lineup.
Móstoles
Not enough data to predict the Móstoles lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 02:49 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Las Rozas have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Móstoles have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Colonia Moscardó(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | SS Reyes II(home) | 4-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 7, 2026 | RC Alcobendas(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Trival Valderas(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Galapagar(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Galapagar(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Unión Adarve(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Leganés II(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Torrejón(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Cala Pozuelo(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Las Rozas wins, 1 draw, 3 Móstoles wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2026 | Móstoles 3-1 Las Rozas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Las Rozas 2-4 Móstoles | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 12, 2024 | Las Rozas 3-1 Móstoles | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Jan 21, 2024 | Móstoles 0-0 Las Rozas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Jan 15, 2023 | Las Rozas 2-1 Móstoles | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 11, 2022 | Móstoles 1-0 Las Rozas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
How many goals should we expect?
Las Rozas score 2.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Móstoles score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Rozas | 2.1 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Móstoles | 1.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Las Rozas sit 1st in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (14 points from 7 matches) and Móstoles sit 2nd (14 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Las Rozas | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 14 |
| 2 | Móstoles | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 14 |
A question about Las Rozas vs Móstoles?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Las Rozas vs Móstoles?
- The Footlab AI model makes Las Rozas the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Móstoles.
- Where and when is Las Rozas vs Móstoles played?
- Las Rozas vs Móstoles is played on May 2, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Polideportivo Dehesa de Navalcarbón 2, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 2, 2027FuenlabradavsSS Reyes II
- May 2, 2027Alcobendas SportvsColonia Moscardó
- May 2, 2027Pozuelo AlarcónvsCala Pozuelo
- May 2, 2027TorrejónvsTrival Valderas
- May 2, 2027Unión AdarvevsRC Alcobendas
- May 2, 2027Real AranjuezvsRayo Vallecano II
- May 2, 2027Villanueva PardillovsGalapagar
- May 2, 2027Parla EscuelavsLeganés II