Match

Pozuelo Alarcón vs Las Rozas: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 31Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Valle de las Cañas, Pozuelo de Alarcón

Pozuelo AlarcónLas Rozas

The Footlab model makes Las Rozas the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Pozuelo Alarcón. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Pozuelo Alarcón vs Las Rozas?

A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Pozuelo Alarcón (1,721) and Las Rozas (1,784).

Pozuelo Alarcón win33 %
Draw27 %
Las Rozas win39 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pozuelo Alarcón have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Las Rozas have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Pozuelo Alarcón
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026Marchamalo(home)0-1Friendlies Clubs
May 10, 2026Tres Cantos(home)3-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026Carabanchel(away)2-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 25, 2026Móstoles(home)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 19, 2026SS Reyes II(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Las Rozas
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jun 7, 2026Trival Valderas(away)1-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 31, 2026Trival Valderas(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 24, 2026Torrejón(away)3-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 17, 2026Torrejón(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 10, 2026Galapagar(away)1-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Pozuelo Alarcón win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Las Rozas win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 1, 2026Las Rozas 1-0 Pozuelo AlarcónTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Nov 23, 2025Pozuelo Alarcón 1-1 Las RozasTercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 5, 2024Pozuelo Alarcón 2-2 Las RozasTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Jan 14, 2024Las Rozas 3-1 Pozuelo AlarcónTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 9, 2023Pozuelo Alarcón 0-1 Las RozasTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Dec 11, 2022Las Rozas 1-2 Pozuelo AlarcónTercera División RFEF - Group 7

Last archived meeting: Las Rozas vs Pozuelo Alarcón on Apr 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Pozuelo Alarcón score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Las Rozas score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Pozuelo Alarcón1.11.227/156/15
Las Rozas1.71.558/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Pozuelo Alarcón sit 9th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (48 points from 34 matches) and Las Rozas sit 4th (56 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Las Rozas3416810584256
9Pozuelo Alarcón34121210403348

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Pozuelo Alarcón vs Las Rozas?
The Footlab model makes Las Rozas the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Pozuelo Alarcón.
Where and when is Pozuelo Alarcón vs Las Rozas played?
Pozuelo Alarcón vs Las Rozas is played on April 18, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Valle de las Cañas, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Pozuelo Alarcón and Las Rozas

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