Torrejón vs Galapagar: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 31Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Las Veredillas, Torrejón de Ardoz
The Footlab AI model makes Torrejón the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Galapagar. The most likely score is 1-1. If Torrejón wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,793 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Torrejón vs Galapagar?
On Elo ratings, Torrejón has 1,812 points and Galapagar 1,739.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Torrejón vs Galapagar
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Torrejón
Not enough data to predict the Torrejón lineup.
Galapagar
Not enough data to predict the Galapagar lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 11:48 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Torrejón have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Galapagar have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Parla Escuela(home) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Villanueva Pardillo(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Unión Adarve(home) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Móstoles(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Fuenlabrada(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Móstoles(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Leganés II(away) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Cala Pozuelo(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano II(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Las Rozas(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Torrejón wins, 1 draw, 2 Galapagar wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | Torrejón 4-0 Galapagar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Galapagar 2-1 Torrejón | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Galapagar 0-1 Torrejón | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Torrejón 1-1 Galapagar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Jan 28, 2024 | Torrejón 0-2 Galapagar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 10, 2023 | Galapagar 2-5 Torrejón | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
Last archived meeting: Torrejón vs Galapagar on Jan 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Torrejón score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Galapagar score 1.8 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torrejón | 1.5 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Galapagar | 1.8 | 1.7 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Torrejón sit 9th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (10 points from 7 matches) and Galapagar sit 8th (11 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Galapagar | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 13 | 11 |
| 9 | Torrejón | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 6 | 10 |
A question about Torrejón vs Galapagar?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Torrejón vs Galapagar?
- The Footlab AI model makes Torrejón the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Galapagar.
- Where and when is Torrejón vs Galapagar played?
- Torrejón vs Galapagar is played on April 18, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Las Veredillas, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 18, 2027FuenlabradavsRC Alcobendas
- Apr 18, 2027Alcobendas SportvsTrival Valderas
- Apr 18, 2027MóstolesvsReal Aranjuez
- Apr 18, 2027Pozuelo AlarcónvsLas Rozas
- Apr 18, 2027Unión AdarvevsLeganés II
- Apr 18, 2027Villanueva PardillovsCala Pozuelo
- Apr 18, 2027Colonia MoscardóvsSS Reyes II
- Apr 18, 2027Parla EscuelavsRayo Vallecano II