Match

Torrejón vs Galapagar: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 31Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Las Veredillas, Torrejón de Ardoz

TorrejónGalapagar

The Footlab model makes Torrejón the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Galapagar. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Torrejón vs Galapagar?

A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Torrejón (1,789) and Galapagar (1,727).

Torrejón win45 %
Draw26 %
Galapagar win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Torrejón have 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 defeats; Galapagar have 5, 6 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Torrejón
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 24, 2026Las Rozas(home)0-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 17, 2026Las Rozas(away)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 10, 2026AD Parla(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026Alcorcón II(away)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 26, 2026Alcobendas Sport(home)3-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Galapagar
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Las Rozas(home)3-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026AD Parla(away)5-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 26, 2026Unión Adarve(away)1-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 19, 2026Alcorcón II(home)0-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 12, 2026Villaverde-Boetticher(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Torrejón win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Galapagar win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 18, 2026Torrejón 4-0 GalapagarTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Sep 7, 2025Galapagar 2-1 TorrejónTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Mar 2, 2025Galapagar 0-1 TorrejónTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 20, 2024Torrejón 1-1 GalapagarTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Jan 28, 2024Torrejón 0-2 GalapagarTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Sep 10, 2023Galapagar 2-5 TorrejónTercera División RFEF - Group 7

Last archived meeting: Torrejón vs Galapagar on Jan 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Torrejón score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Galapagar score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Torrejón1.71.5211/159/15
Galapagar1.51.3310/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Torrejón sit 3rd in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (60 points from 34 matches) and Galapagar sit 10th (46 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Torrejón341798574660
10Galapagar34111310424746

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Torrejón vs Galapagar?
The Footlab model makes Torrejón the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Galapagar.
Where and when is Torrejón vs Galapagar played?
Torrejón vs Galapagar is played on April 18, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Las Veredillas, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Torrejón and Galapagar

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