Match

Móstoles vs Real Aranjuez: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 31Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de El Soto, Móstoles

MóstolesReal Aranjuez

The Footlab AI model makes Móstoles the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Real Aranjuez. The most likely score is 1-1. If Móstoles wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,796 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Móstoles vs Real Aranjuez?

Móstoles starts as the favourite with a 233-point Elo edge (1,805 vs 1,573).

53%23%24%
Móstoles winDrawReal Aranjuez win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Móstoles vs Real Aranjuez

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Móstoles

Not enough data to predict the Móstoles lineup.

Real Aranjuez

4-3-3
  1. CChiki
  2. JJuanito Díaz
  3. IIván Morcillo
  1. AAitor Carrillo
  2. CCarlitos Monzón
  3. CChanque
  1. JJuanlu
  2. MMario Jimeno
  3. GG. Spasov
  4. VVíctor Cartas
  1. TT. Robu

Computed on October 19, 2026 at 01:53 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Móstoles have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Real Aranjuez have 1, 4 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Móstoles
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Galapagar(home)3-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 11, 2026Unión Adarve(away)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 4, 2026Leganés II(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Sep 27, 2026Torrejón(away)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Sep 20, 2026Cala Pozuelo(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Real Aranjuez
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Alcobendas Sport(away)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 10, 2026Colonia Moscardó(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 4, 2026SS Reyes II(away)5-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Sep 26, 2026Trival Valderas(home)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Sep 20, 2026RC Alcobendas(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Móstoles wins, 1 draw, 1 Real Aranjuez win.

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 12, 2023Real Aranjuez 2-0 MóstolesTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 9, 2022Móstoles 2-1 Real AranjuezTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Feb 17, 2021Real Aranjuez 0-1 MóstolesTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 18, 2020Móstoles 0-0 Real AranjuezTercera División RFEF - Group 7

Last archived meeting: Real Aranjuez vs Móstoles on Feb 12, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

Móstoles score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Real Aranjuez score 1.1 and concede 2.8. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Móstoles1.21.348/155/15
Real Aranjuez1.12.819/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Móstoles sit 2nd in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (14 points from 7 matches) and Real Aranjuez sit 14th (6 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Móstoles742110414
14Real Aranjuez713312166

A question about Móstoles vs Real Aranjuez?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Móstoles vs Real Aranjuez?
The Footlab AI model makes Móstoles the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Real Aranjuez.
Where and when is Móstoles vs Real Aranjuez played?
Móstoles vs Real Aranjuez is played on April 18, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de El Soto, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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