Unión Adarve vs Leganés II: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 31Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Centro Deportivo Municipal Vicente del Bosque, Madrid
The Footlab model makes Leganés II the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Unión Adarve. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Unión Adarve vs Leganés II?
A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Unión Adarve (1,799) and Leganés II (1,803).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Unión Adarve have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Leganés II have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Racing Madrid(home) | 5-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 3, 2026 | Las Rozas(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Galapagar(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Villaverde-Boetticher(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | A Madrid III(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Real Valladolid II(away) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 24, 2026 | Trival Valderas(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 17, 2026 | Trival Valderas(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 10, 2026 | Alcobendas Sport(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 3, 2026 | Tres Cantos(away) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Unión Adarve win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Leganés II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | Unión Adarve 4-3 Leganés II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Leganés II 5-0 Unión Adarve | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 22, 2023 | Leganés II 0-2 Unión Adarve | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Dec 11, 2022 | Unión Adarve 3-3 Leganés II | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 17, 2022 | Unión Adarve 2-1 Leganés II | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 28, 2021 | Leganés II 1-1 Unión Adarve | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Unión Adarve vs Leganés II on Mar 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Unión Adarve score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Leganés II score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unión Adarve | 1.8 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Leganés II | 1.7 | 1.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Unión Adarve sit 6th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (53 points from 34 matches) and Leganés II sit 5th (55 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Leganés II | 34 | 15 | 10 | 10 | 63 | 33 | 55 |
| 6 | Unión Adarve | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 48 | 42 | 53 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Unión Adarve vs Leganés II?
- The Footlab model makes Leganés II the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Unión Adarve.
- Where and when is Unión Adarve vs Leganés II played?
- Unión Adarve vs Leganés II is played on April 18, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Centro Deportivo Municipal Vicente del Bosque, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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