Unión Adarve vs Leganés II: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 31Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Centro Deportivo Municipal Vicente del Bosque, Madrid
The Footlab AI model makes Unión Adarve the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Leganés II. The most likely score is 1-1. If Unión Adarve wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 4,836 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Unión Adarve vs Leganés II?
A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Unión Adarve (1,803) and Leganés II (1,798).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Unión Adarve vs Leganés II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Unión Adarve
Not enough data to predict the Unión Adarve lineup.
Leganés II
Not enough data to predict the Leganés II lineup.
Computed on November 7, 2026 at 08:31 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Unión Adarve have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Leganés II have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Real Aranjuez(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Pozuelo Alarcón(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Parla Escuela(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Villanueva Pardillo(home) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Móstoles(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | SS Reyes II(away) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Trival Valderas(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | RC Alcobendas(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Galapagar(home) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Móstoles(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Unión Adarve wins, 2 draws, 1 Leganés II win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | Unión Adarve 4-3 Leganés II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Leganés II 5-0 Unión Adarve | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 22, 2023 | Leganés II 0-2 Unión Adarve | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Dec 11, 2022 | Unión Adarve 3-3 Leganés II | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 17, 2022 | Unión Adarve 2-1 Leganés II | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 28, 2021 | Leganés II 1-1 Unión Adarve | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Unión Adarve vs Leganés II on Mar 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Unión Adarve score 1.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Leganés II score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unión Adarve | 1.9 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Leganés II | 1.9 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Unión Adarve sit 4th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (16 points from 10 matches) and Leganés II sit 7th (14 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Unión Adarve | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 13 | 16 |
| 7 | Leganés II | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 12 | 14 |
A question about Unión Adarve vs Leganés II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Unión Adarve vs Leganés II?
- The Footlab AI model makes Unión Adarve the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Leganés II.
- Where and when is Unión Adarve vs Leganés II played?
- Unión Adarve vs Leganés II is played on April 18, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Centro Deportivo Municipal Vicente del Bosque, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 18, 2027FuenlabradavsRC Alcobendas
- Apr 18, 2027Alcobendas SportvsTrival Valderas
- Apr 18, 2027MóstolesvsReal Aranjuez
- Apr 18, 2027Pozuelo AlarcónvsLas Rozas
- Apr 18, 2027TorrejónvsGalapagar
- Apr 18, 2027Villanueva PardillovsCala Pozuelo
- Apr 18, 2027Colonia MoscardóvsSS Reyes II
- Apr 18, 2027Parla EscuelavsRayo Vallecano II