Match

Unión Adarve vs Leganés II: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 31Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Centro Deportivo Municipal Vicente del Bosque, Madrid

Unión AdarveLeganés II

The Footlab model makes Leganés II the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Unión Adarve. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Unión Adarve vs Leganés II?

A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Unión Adarve (1,799) and Leganés II (1,803).

Unión Adarve win36 %
Draw26 %
Leganés II win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Unión Adarve have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Leganés II have 3, 5 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Unión Adarve
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Racing Madrid(home)5-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026Las Rozas(away)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 26, 2026Galapagar(home)3-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 19, 2026Villaverde-Boetticher(home)3-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 11, 2026A Madrid III(away)0-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Leganés II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 12, 2026Real Valladolid II(away)3-3Friendlies Clubs
May 24, 2026Trival Valderas(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 17, 2026Trival Valderas(home)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 10, 2026Alcobendas Sport(home)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026Tres Cantos(away)3-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Unión Adarve win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Leganés II win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 22, 2026Unión Adarve 4-3 Leganés IITercera División RFEF - Group 7
Nov 9, 2025Leganés II 5-0 Unión AdarveTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 22, 2023Leganés II 0-2 Unión AdarveSegunda División RFEF - Group 5
Dec 11, 2022Unión Adarve 3-3 Leganés IISegunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 17, 2022Unión Adarve 2-1 Leganés IISegunda División RFEF - Group 1
Nov 28, 2021Leganés II 1-1 Unión AdarveSegunda División RFEF - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Unión Adarve vs Leganés II on Mar 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Unión Adarve score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Leganés II score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Unión Adarve1.81.166/159/15
Leganés II1.71.6310/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Unión Adarve sit 6th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (53 points from 34 matches) and Leganés II sit 5th (55 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Leganés II34151010633355
6Unión Adarve3415811484253

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Unión Adarve vs Leganés II?
The Footlab model makes Leganés II the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Unión Adarve.
Where and when is Unión Adarve vs Leganés II played?
Unión Adarve vs Leganés II is played on April 18, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Centro Deportivo Municipal Vicente del Bosque, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Unión Adarve and Leganés II

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