Preston vs Bristol City: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 4Kick-off on September 1, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Deepdale, Preston
The Footlab model makes Preston the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Bristol City. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 21, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Preston vs Bristol City?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Preston (1,771) and Bristol City (1,819).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Preston have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Bristol City have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bolton(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Huddersfield(home) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Stockport County(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Bradford(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Marine(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Millwall(home) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Walsall(home) | 0-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Exeter City(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Plymouth(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Newcastle(home) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Preston win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Bristol City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2026 | Bristol City 0-2 Preston | Championship |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Preston 0-0 Bristol City | Championship |
| May 3, 2025 | Bristol City 2-2 Preston | Championship |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Preston 1-3 Bristol City | Championship |
| Jan 13, 2024 | Preston 2-0 Bristol City | Championship |
| Aug 5, 2023 | Bristol City 1-1 Preston | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Bristol City vs Preston on Jan 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Preston score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Bristol City score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Preston | 1.3 | 1.9 | 0 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Bristol City | 1.2 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Preston sit 19th in Championship (0 points from 1 matches) and Bristol City sit 23rd (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Preston | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 | Bristol City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Preston vs Bristol City?
- The Footlab model makes Preston the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Bristol City.
- Where and when is Preston vs Bristol City played?
- Preston vs Bristol City is played on September 1, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Deepdale, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.