Preston vs Cardiff: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 46Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Deepdale, Preston
The Footlab AI model makes Cardiff the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Preston. The most likely score is 1-1. If Cardiff wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,395 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Preston vs Cardiff?
Cardiff starts as the favourite with a 255-point Elo edge (2,024 vs 1,769).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Preston vs Cardiff
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Preston
3-4-2-1- 10C. Lang
- 7A. Devine
- 15J. Thompson
- 27L. Leroy
- 17S. Mills
- 20L. Gibbs
- 11T. Small
- 14J. Storey
- 24O. Offiah
- 16A. Hughes
- 1D. Iversen
Cardiff
4-2-3-1- 9Y. Salech
- 18A. Robertson
- 11O. Tanner
- 8J. Moylan
- 27J. Colwill
- 45Cian Ashford
- 38P. Ng
- 3J. Bagan
- 4G. Osho
- 48D. Lawlor
- 1N. Trott
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 11:45 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Preston have 1 win, 2 draws and 12 defeats; Cardiff have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Birmingham(away) | 0-4 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Millwall(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | QPR(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Lincoln(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Watford(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Watford(home) | 5-1 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Blackburn(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Charlton(home) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Bolton(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Stoke City(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Preston wins, 2 draws, 1 Cardiff win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2025 | Preston 2-2 Cardiff | Championship |
| Dec 11, 2024 | Cardiff 0-2 Preston | Championship |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Cardiff 0-2 Preston | Championship |
| Nov 25, 2023 | Preston 1-2 Cardiff | Championship |
| Mar 11, 2023 | Preston 2-0 Cardiff | Championship |
| Aug 27, 2022 | Cardiff 0-0 Preston | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Preston score 0.7 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Cardiff score 2.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Preston | 0.7 | 2.1 | 0 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Cardiff | 2.3 | 1.5 | 0 | 13/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Preston sit 24th in Championship (4 points from 10 matches) and Cardiff sit 18th (10 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Cardiff | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 10 |
| 24 | Preston | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 4 |
A question about Preston vs Cardiff?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Preston vs Cardiff?
- The Footlab AI model makes Cardiff the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Preston.
- Where and when is Preston vs Cardiff played?
- Preston vs Cardiff is played on May 1, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Deepdale, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.