Southampton vs Sheffield Utd: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 46Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC)St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton, Hampshire
The Footlab AI model makes Southampton the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Sheffield Utd. The most likely score is 1-1. If Southampton wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,857 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Southampton vs Sheffield Utd?
Southampton starts as the favourite with a 118-point Elo edge (2,092 vs 1,974).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Southampton vs Sheffield Utd
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Southampton
4-2-3-1- 9C. Larin
- 10F. Azaz
- 30J. Ward-Prowse
- 7Léo Scienza
- 4F. Downes
- 26Cameron Bragg
- 13K. Schlotterbeck
- 5J. Stephens
- 14J. Bree
- 3R. Manning
- 1Daniel Peretz
Sheffield Utd
4-4-2- 9T. Cannon
- 45P. Bamford
- 22B. Brereton
- 19T. Chong
- 42Sydie Peck
- 4O. Arblaster
- 5J. Tanganga
- 15L. Kitching
- 8H. Choudhury
- 3S. McCallum
- 1M. Cooper
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 09:07 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Southampton have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Sheffield Utd have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Bolton(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Norwich(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Portsmouth(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Wrexham(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Bristol City(home) | 4-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Bristol City(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Portsmouth(away) | 2-3 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Lincoln(home) | 3-0 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Stoke City(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Fleetwood Town(away) | 0-1 | League Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Southampton wins, 1 draw, 0 Sheffield Utd wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2026 | Southampton 1-0 Sheffield Utd | Championship |
| Sep 30, 2025 | Sheffield Utd 1-2 Southampton | Championship |
| Sep 21, 2021 | Sheffield Utd 2-2 Southampton | League Cup |
| Mar 6, 2021 | Sheffield Utd 0-2 Southampton | Premier League |
| Dec 13, 2020 | Southampton 3-0 Sheffield Utd | Premier League |
| Jul 26, 2020 | Southampton 3-1 Sheffield Utd | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Southampton vs Sheffield Utd on Jan 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Southampton score 1.8 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Sheffield Utd score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton | 1.8 | 1.0 | 5 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Sheffield Utd | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Southampton sit 7th in Championship (17 points from 11 matches) and Sheffield Utd sit 11th (15 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Southampton | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 17 |
| 11 | Sheffield Utd | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 15 |
A question about Southampton vs Sheffield Utd?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Southampton vs Sheffield Utd?
- The Footlab AI model makes Southampton the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Sheffield Utd.
- Where and when is Southampton vs Sheffield Utd played?
- Southampton vs Sheffield Utd is played on May 1, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at St. Mary's Stadium, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.