West Ham vs Portsmouth: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 46Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC)London Stadium, London
The Footlab model makes West Ham the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Portsmouth. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win West Ham vs Portsmouth?
West Ham starts as the favourite with a 217-point Elo edge (2,073 vs 1,856).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, West Ham have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Portsmouth have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Southampton(away) | 4-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Charlton(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Burnley(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Portsmouth(home) | 3-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | 1. FC Magdeburg(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lincoln(away) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | QPR(home) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | West Ham(away) | 1-3 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | SV Darmstadt 98(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Farnborough(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 3 West Ham win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Portsmouth win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | West Ham 3-1 Portsmouth | League Cup |
| Jan 14, 2012 | Portsmouth 0-1 West Ham | Championship |
| Sep 10, 2011 | West Ham 4-3 Portsmouth | Championship |
Last archived meeting: West Ham vs Portsmouth on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
West Ham score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Portsmouth score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Ham | 1.8 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Portsmouth | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
West Ham sit 17th in Championship (1 points from 2 matches) and Portsmouth sit 10th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Portsmouth | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 17 | West Ham | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for West Ham vs Portsmouth?
- The Footlab model makes West Ham the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Portsmouth.
- Where and when is West Ham vs Portsmouth played?
- West Ham vs Portsmouth is played on May 1, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at London Stadium, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.