West Brom vs Bolton: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 46Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC)The Hawthorns, West Bromwich
The Footlab AI model makes Bolton the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for West Brom. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bolton wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,495 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win West Brom vs Bolton?
A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate West Brom (1,953) and Bolton (1,962).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for West Brom vs Bolton
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
West Brom
4-4-2- 20R. Nzingoula
- 19A. Heggebø
- 21I. Price
- 15Tobias Christopher Collyer
- 8J. Molumby
- 29Harry Whitwell
- 4C. Styles
- 2C. Mepham
- 18B. Pereira
- 6G. Campbell
- 1M. O’Leary
Bolton
4-2-3-1- 10S. Dalby
- 8J. Sheehan
- 21E. Erhahon
- 11T. Gale
- 16S. Iling-Junior
- 20Ruben Rodrigues
- 22Gaizka Larrazabal
- 18E. Toal
- 25M. Conway
- 6B. Davies
- 31G. Bazunu
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 10:00 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, West Brom have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Bolton have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Wrexham(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Birmingham(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Wolves(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | QPR(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Derby(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Wolves(away) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Stoke City(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Norwich(away) | 4-3 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Cardiff(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 8, 2026 | West Ham(home) | 2-3 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 West Brom wins, 1 draw, 3 Bolton wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 13, 2024 | West Brom 1-2 Bolton | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2023 | Bolton 4-3 West Brom | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 21, 2019 | Bolton 0-2 West Brom | Championship |
| Aug 4, 2018 | West Brom 1-2 Bolton | Championship |
| May 6, 2012 | Bolton 2-2 West Brom | Premier League |
| Nov 19, 2011 | West Brom 2-1 Bolton | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
West Brom score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Bolton score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Brom | 1.9 | 1.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Bolton | 1.3 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
West Brom sit 6th in Championship (17 points from 10 matches) and Bolton sit 14th (13 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | West Brom | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 17 |
| 14 | Bolton | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 18 | 13 |
A question about West Brom vs Bolton?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for West Brom vs Bolton?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bolton the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for West Brom.
- Where and when is West Brom vs Bolton played?
- West Brom vs Bolton is played on May 1, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at The Hawthorns, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.