Pro Sesto vs USD Casatese: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone DGroup D - 27Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Ernesto Breda, Sesto San Giovanni
The Footlab AI model makes USD Casatese the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Pro Sesto. The most likely score is 1-1. If USD Casatese wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pro Sesto vs USD Casatese?
A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate Pro Sesto (1,693) and USD Casatese (1,746).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Pro Sesto vs USD Casatese
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Pro Sesto
Not enough data to predict the Pro Sesto lineup.
USD Casatese
Not enough data to predict the USD Casatese lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 11:15 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pro Sesto have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; USD Casatese have 11, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Solbiatese(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Arconatese(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Oltrepò(home) | 6-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Crema(away) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Pontedera(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Cittadella Vis Modena(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Pistoiese(home) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Varesina(home) | 4-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Correggese(away) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Sant'Angelo(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Pro Sesto wins, 0 draws, 1 USD Casatese win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2025 | USD Casatese 2-1 Pro Sesto | Serie D - Girone B |
| Sep 8, 2024 | Pro Sesto 3-1 USD Casatese | Serie D - Girone B |
| Aug 11, 2022 | Pro Sesto 3-1 USD Casatese | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: USD Casatese vs Pro Sesto on Jan 5, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Pro Sesto score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; USD Casatese score 1.9 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pro Sesto | 1.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| USD Casatese | 1.9 | 0.8 | 9 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pro Sesto sit 5th in Serie D - Girone D (14 points from 7 matches) and USD Casatese sit 6th (13 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Pro Sesto | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 6 | 14 |
| 6 | USD Casatese | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 13 |
A question about Pro Sesto vs USD Casatese?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pro Sesto vs USD Casatese?
- The Footlab AI model makes USD Casatese the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Pro Sesto.
- Where and when is Pro Sesto vs USD Casatese played?
- Pro Sesto vs USD Casatese is played on March 14, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Ernesto Breda, in the Serie D - Girone D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.