Città di Varese vs Varesina: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone DGroup D - 27Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Franco Ossola, Varese
The Footlab model makes Città di Varese the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Varesina. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Città di Varese vs Varesina?
A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate Città di Varese (1,771) and Varesina (1,726).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Città di Varese have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Varesina have 5, 7 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Pro Palazzolo(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Renate(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 17, 2026 | Ligorna(away) | 3-5 | Serie D - Girone A |
| May 9, 2026 | Biellese(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| May 3, 2026 | Lavagnese(away) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Castellanzese(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| May 3, 2026 | Caldiero Terme(away) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Breno(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Milan II(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Chievo(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Città di Varese win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Varesina win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 2025 | Varesina 0-0 Città di Varese | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Città di Varese 2-0 Varesina | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Sep 3, 2023 | Varesina 2-0 Città di Varese | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Feb 12, 2023 | Città di Varese 0-1 Varesina | Serie D - Girone B |
| Nov 1, 2022 | Varesina 0-1 Città di Varese | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 9, 2022 | Varesina 4-1 Città di Varese | Serie D - Girone B |
Last archived meeting: Varesina vs Città di Varese on Aug 31, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Città di Varese score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Varesina score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Città di Varese | 1.3 | 1.6 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Varesina | 1.3 | 1.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Città di Varese vs Varesina?
- The Footlab model makes Città di Varese the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Varesina.
- Where and when is Città di Varese vs Varesina played?
- Città di Varese vs Varesina is played on March 14, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Franco Ossola, in the Serie D - Girone D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.