Match

Wiltz vs US Hostert: prediction and stats

National DivisionRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade am Petz, Weidingen

WiltzUS Hostert

The Footlab model makes Wiltz the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for US Hostert. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Wiltz vs US Hostert?

A very open match: only 1 Elo points separate Wiltz (1,434) and US Hostert (1,436).

Wiltz win39 %
Draw24 %
US Hostert win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wiltz have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; US Hostert have 6, 0 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Wiltz
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Victoria Rosport(away)0-4National Division
Aug 15, 2026FC Differdange 03(home)1-2National Division
Aug 9, 2026Swift Hesperange(away)7-2National Division
Aug 1, 2026Etzella Ettelbruck(home)1-1National Division
Jul 25, 2026AS Eupen(home)0-9Friendlies Clubs
US Hostert
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Swift Hesperange(away)2-0National Division
Aug 16, 2026Etzella Ettelbruck(home)5-1National Division
Aug 9, 2026UN Kaerjeng 97(away)2-4National Division
Aug 2, 2026Résidence Walferdange(away)2-3National Division
Jul 22, 2026Excelsior Virton(away)0-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Wiltz win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 US Hostert win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 25, 2025Wiltz 2-2 US HostertNational Division
Aug 4, 2024US Hostert 3-4 WiltzNational Division
Apr 12, 2023Wiltz 4-1 US HostertCup
Mar 12, 2023Wiltz 2-2 US HostertNational Division
Sep 11, 2022US Hostert 2-3 WiltzNational Division
Feb 13, 2022Wiltz 0-0 US HostertNational Division

Last archived meeting: Wiltz vs US Hostert on May 25, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Wiltz score 1.9 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; US Hostert score 1.7 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Wiltz1.92.428/1511/15
US Hostert1.72.228/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Wiltz sit 9th in National Division (4 points from 3 matches) and US Hostert sit 10th (3 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7US Hostert42021186
9Wiltz3111954
10US Hostert3102983
11Wiltz4112994

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Wiltz vs US Hostert?
The Footlab model makes Wiltz the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for US Hostert.
Where and when is Wiltz vs US Hostert played?
Wiltz vs US Hostert is played on November 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade am Petz, in the National Division.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Wiltz and US Hostert

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