Wiltz vs US Hostert: prediction and stats
National DivisionRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade am Petz, Weidingen
The Footlab model makes Wiltz the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for US Hostert. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wiltz vs US Hostert?
A very open match: only 1 Elo points separate Wiltz (1,434) and US Hostert (1,436).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wiltz have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; US Hostert have 6, 0 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Victoria Rosport(away) | 0-4 | National Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Differdange 03(home) | 1-2 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Swift Hesperange(away) | 7-2 | National Division |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Etzella Ettelbruck(home) | 1-1 | National Division |
| Jul 25, 2026 | AS Eupen(home) | 0-9 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Swift Hesperange(away) | 2-0 | National Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Etzella Ettelbruck(home) | 5-1 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | UN Kaerjeng 97(away) | 2-4 | National Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Résidence Walferdange(away) | 2-3 | National Division |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Excelsior Virton(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Wiltz win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 US Hostert win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 25, 2025 | Wiltz 2-2 US Hostert | National Division |
| Aug 4, 2024 | US Hostert 3-4 Wiltz | National Division |
| Apr 12, 2023 | Wiltz 4-1 US Hostert | Cup |
| Mar 12, 2023 | Wiltz 2-2 US Hostert | National Division |
| Sep 11, 2022 | US Hostert 2-3 Wiltz | National Division |
| Feb 13, 2022 | Wiltz 0-0 US Hostert | National Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Wiltz score 1.9 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; US Hostert score 1.7 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wiltz | 1.9 | 2.4 | 2 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| US Hostert | 1.7 | 2.2 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wiltz sit 9th in National Division (4 points from 3 matches) and US Hostert sit 10th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | US Hostert | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 6 |
| 9 | Wiltz | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 4 |
| 10 | US Hostert | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 3 |
| 11 | Wiltz | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wiltz vs US Hostert?
- The Footlab model makes Wiltz the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for US Hostert.
- Where and when is Wiltz vs US Hostert played?
- Wiltz vs US Hostert is played on November 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade am Petz, in the National Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 29, 2026Progres NiederkornvsVictoria Rosport
- Nov 29, 2026US RumelangevsUN Kaerjeng 97
- Nov 29, 2026AS Jeunesse EschvsF91 Dudelange
- Nov 29, 2026UNA StrassenvsSwift Hesperange
- Nov 29, 2026US Mondorf-les-bainsvsEtzella Ettelbruck
- Nov 29, 2026Atert BissenvsFC Differdange 03
- Nov 29, 2026Résidence WalferdangevsRacing FC Union Luxembourg