UNA Strassen vs Swift Hesperange: prediction and stats
National DivisionRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Complexe Sportif Jean Wirtz, Strossen
The Footlab model makes UNA Strassen the favourite at 77%, against 17% for a draw and 6% for Swift Hesperange. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win UNA Strassen vs Swift Hesperange?
UNA Strassen starts as the favourite with a 266-point Elo edge (1,680 vs 1,413).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, UNA Strassen have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Swift Hesperange have 3, 1 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Progres Niederkorn(away) | 1-0 | National Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | AS Jeunesse Esch(home) | 1-0 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | F91 Dudelange(away) | 2-0 | National Division |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Victoria Rosport(home) | 4-0 | National Division |
| Jul 30, 2026 | FK Partizan(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | US Hostert(home) | 0-2 | National Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg(away) | 0-5 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Wiltz(home) | 2-7 | National Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | US Rumelange(away) | 0-1 | National Division |
| May 23, 2026 | Union Titus Petange(away) | 3-2 | National Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 UNA Strassen win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Swift Hesperange win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2026 | UNA Strassen 3-0 Swift Hesperange | National Division |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Swift Hesperange 4-2 UNA Strassen | National Division |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Swift Hesperange 1-2 UNA Strassen | National Division |
| Oct 26, 2024 | UNA Strassen 0-2 Swift Hesperange | National Division |
| May 26, 2024 | Swift Hesperange 2-0 UNA Strassen | National Division |
| May 1, 2024 | UNA Strassen 0-2 Swift Hesperange | Cup |
Last archived meeting: UNA Strassen vs Swift Hesperange on Feb 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
UNA Strassen score 1.3 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Swift Hesperange score 0.8 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNA Strassen | 1.3 | 0.5 | 11 | 2/15 | 4/15 |
| Swift Hesperange | 0.8 | 2.1 | 2 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
UNA Strassen sit 1st in National Division (12 points from 4 matches) and Swift Hesperange sit 16th (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UNA Strassen | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 12 |
| 1 | UNA Strassen | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 12 |
| 16 | Swift Hesperange | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 | Swift Hesperange | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for UNA Strassen vs Swift Hesperange?
- The Footlab model makes UNA Strassen the favourite at 77%, against 17% for a draw and 6% for Swift Hesperange.
- Where and when is UNA Strassen vs Swift Hesperange played?
- UNA Strassen vs Swift Hesperange is played on November 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Complexe Sportif Jean Wirtz, in the National Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 29, 2026Progres NiederkornvsVictoria Rosport
- Nov 29, 2026US RumelangevsUN Kaerjeng 97
- Nov 29, 2026AS Jeunesse EschvsF91 Dudelange
- Nov 29, 2026US Mondorf-les-bainsvsEtzella Ettelbruck
- Nov 29, 2026WiltzvsUS Hostert
- Nov 29, 2026Atert BissenvsFC Differdange 03
- Nov 29, 2026Résidence WalferdangevsRacing FC Union Luxembourg