PSV Eindhoven vs Utrecht: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 25Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Philips Stadion, Eindhoven
The Footlab model makes PSV Eindhoven the favourite at 67%, against 18% for a draw and 15% for Utrecht. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win PSV Eindhoven vs Utrecht?
PSV Eindhoven starts as the favourite with a 224-point Elo edge (2,219 vs 1,995).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, PSV Eindhoven have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Utrecht have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Groningen(home) | 5-1 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Excelsior(away) | 2-1 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Fortuna Sittard(home) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 2, 2026 | AZ Alkmaar(home) | 0-4 | Super Cup |
| Jul 28, 2026 | FC Eindhoven(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam(away) | 3-3 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | AZ Alkmaar(home) | 1-4 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Groningen(away) | 1-2 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Sevilla(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Cambuur(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 PSV Eindhoven win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Utrecht win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | PSV Eindhoven 4-3 Utrecht | Eredivisie |
| Dec 21, 2025 | Utrecht 1-2 PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie |
| Feb 15, 2025 | PSV Eindhoven 2-2 Utrecht | Eredivisie |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Utrecht 2-5 PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie |
| Jan 21, 2024 | Utrecht 1-1 PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie |
| Aug 12, 2023 | PSV Eindhoven 2-0 Utrecht | Eredivisie |
Last archived meeting: PSV Eindhoven vs Utrecht on Apr 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
PSV Eindhoven score 3.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Utrecht score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSV Eindhoven | 3.1 | 1.8 | 2 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
| Utrecht | 1.7 | 1.9 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
PSV Eindhoven sit 2nd in Eredivisie (7 points from 3 matches) and Utrecht sit 15th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | PSV Eindhoven | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 7 |
| 15 | Utrecht | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for PSV Eindhoven vs Utrecht?
- The Footlab model makes PSV Eindhoven the favourite at 67%, against 18% for a draw and 15% for Utrecht.
- Where and when is PSV Eindhoven vs Utrecht played?
- PSV Eindhoven vs Utrecht is played on March 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Philips Stadion, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.