PSV Eindhoven vs Utrecht: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 25Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Philips Stadion, Eindhoven
The Footlab AI model makes PSV Eindhoven the favourite at 66%, against 18% for a draw and 16% for Utrecht. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,373 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win PSV Eindhoven vs Utrecht?
PSV Eindhoven starts as the favourite with a 238-point Elo edge (2,205 vs 1,967).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for PSV Eindhoven vs Utrecht
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
PSV Eindhoven
4-2-3-1- 21S. Mijnans
- 20G. Til
- 24K. Sano
- 7R. van Bommel
- 5I. Perišić
- 31N. Fernandez
- 4A. Obispo
- 8S. Dest
- 17Mauro Júnior
- 2L. Geertruida
- 32M. Kovář
Utrecht
3-4-3- 20D. de Wit
- 10Y. Cathline
- 11Ángel Alarcón
- 92A. Zagré
- 23N. Vesterlund
- 34D. van den Berg
- 8J. van Overeem
- 2S. Horemans
- 3M. Didden
- 5N. Panagiotou
- 1V. Barkas
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 04:35 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, PSV Eindhoven have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Utrecht have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | RB Leipzig(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Heerenveen(home) | 2-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Twente(away) | 2-3 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam(home) | 4-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Shakhtar Donetsk(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Willem II(home) | 3-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Feyenoord(away) | 0-5 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Excelsior(away) | 2-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 8, 2026 | GO Ahead Eagles(home) | 3-3 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 30, 2026 | PSV Eindhoven(home) | 1-6 | Eredivisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 PSV Eindhoven wins, 2 draws, 0 Utrecht wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 2026 | Utrecht 1-6 PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie |
| Apr 4, 2026 | PSV Eindhoven 4-3 Utrecht | Eredivisie |
| Dec 21, 2025 | Utrecht 1-2 PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie |
| Feb 15, 2025 | PSV Eindhoven 2-2 Utrecht | Eredivisie |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Utrecht 2-5 PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie |
| Jan 21, 2024 | Utrecht 1-1 PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie |
Last archived meeting: Utrecht vs PSV Eindhoven on Aug 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
PSV Eindhoven score 2.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Utrecht score 1.5 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSV Eindhoven | 2.7 | 1.6 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Utrecht | 1.5 | 2.2 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
PSV Eindhoven sit 2nd in Eredivisie (19 points from 8 matches) and Utrecht sit 13th (8 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | PSV Eindhoven | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 10 | 19 |
| 13 | Utrecht | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 25 | 8 |
A question about PSV Eindhoven vs Utrecht?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for PSV Eindhoven vs Utrecht?
- The Footlab AI model makes PSV Eindhoven the favourite at 66%, against 18% for a draw and 16% for Utrecht.
- Where and when is PSV Eindhoven vs Utrecht played?
- PSV Eindhoven vs Utrecht is played on March 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Philips Stadion, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.