Twente vs AZ Alkmaar: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 25Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)De Grolsch Veste, Enschede
The Footlab AI model makes Twente the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for AZ Alkmaar. The most likely score is 1-1. If Twente wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,457 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Twente vs AZ Alkmaar?
A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate Twente (2,101) and AZ Alkmaar (2,133).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Twente vs AZ Alkmaar
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Twente
4-2-3-1- 9W. Weghorst
- 6R. Zerrouki
- 8D. Weidmann
- 10Y. Taha
- 11D. Rots
- 27S. Ørjasæter
- 28B. van Rooij
- 4R. Nijstad
- 3R. Pröpper
- 29A. Adelgaard
- 16J. Drommel
AZ Alkmaar
4-2-3-1- 9M. Meerdink
- 6P. Koopmeiners
- 11R. Daal
- 24A. Oufkir
- 14C. Stengs
- 21D. Kwakman
- 3W. Goes
- 4L. Schouten
- 22E. Dijkstra
- 5M. Chávez
- 28J. De Busser
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 01:33 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Twente have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; AZ Alkmaar have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | FC Thun(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Fortuna Sittard(away) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 20, 2026 | PSV Eindhoven(home) | 3-2 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 12, 2026 | ADO Den Haag(home) | 2-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Telstar(home) | 1-0 | Eredivisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Hapoel Beer Sheva(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Feyenoord(away) | 0-2 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Telstar(home) | 1-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Sunderland(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Willem II(home) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Twente win, 1 draw, 4 AZ Alkmaar wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | AZ Alkmaar 2-2 Twente | Eredivisie |
| Feb 3, 2026 | AZ Alkmaar 2-1 Twente | KNVB Beker |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Twente 1-0 AZ Alkmaar | Eredivisie |
| May 25, 2025 | AZ Alkmaar 3-2 Twente | Eredivisie |
| May 14, 2025 | Twente 2-3 AZ Alkmaar | Eredivisie |
| Dec 21, 2024 | AZ Alkmaar 1-0 Twente | Eredivisie |
How many goals should we expect?
Twente score 2.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; AZ Alkmaar score 2.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Twente | 2.2 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| AZ Alkmaar | 2.3 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Twente sit 4th in Eredivisie (17 points from 8 matches) and AZ Alkmaar sit 3rd (19 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | AZ Alkmaar | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 8 | 19 |
| 4 | Twente | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 8 | 17 |
A question about Twente vs AZ Alkmaar?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Twente vs AZ Alkmaar?
- The Footlab AI model makes Twente the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for AZ Alkmaar.
- Where and when is Twente vs AZ Alkmaar played?
- Twente vs AZ Alkmaar is played on March 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at De Grolsch Veste, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.