GO Ahead Eagles vs Excelsior: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 25Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)De Adelaarshorst, Deventer
The Footlab AI model makes GO Ahead Eagles the favourite at 52%, against 22% for a draw and 26% for Excelsior. The most likely score is 1-1. If GO Ahead Eagles wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,373 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win GO Ahead Eagles vs Excelsior?
On Elo ratings, GO Ahead Eagles has 1,935 points and Excelsior 1,909.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for GO Ahead Eagles vs Excelsior
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
GO Ahead Eagles
4-2-3-1- 9S. Sigurðarson
- 10S. Tengstedt
- 16V. Edvardsen
- 17M. Suray
- 8E. Linthorst
- 21M. Meulensteen
- 4J. Kramer
- 2A. Sampsted
- 5D. James
- 26J. Dirksen
- 1K. Haug
Excelsior
4-3-3- 19D. Garden
- 30Á. Þorsteinsson
- 7A. Sliti
- 3R. Meissen
- 20L. Hartjes
- 8I. Yegoian
- 14J. Plug
- 4C. Widell
- 2Eric Emanuel da Silva Moreira
- 15S. Janssen
- 1S. van Gassel
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 11:43 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, GO Ahead Eagles have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Excelsior have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam(home) | 3-3 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 20, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen(away) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Groningen(home) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Utrecht(away) | 3-3 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 29, 2026 | AZ Alkmaar(away) | 2-5 | Eredivisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Groningen(home) | 1-5 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Ajax(away) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Utrecht(home) | 1-2 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 8, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen(away) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Willem II(away) | 3-0 | Eredivisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 GO Ahead Eagles wins, 1 draw, 1 Excelsior win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Excelsior 0-1 GO Ahead Eagles | Eredivisie |
| Oct 26, 2025 | GO Ahead Eagles 2-0 Excelsior | Eredivisie |
| Mar 30, 2024 | GO Ahead Eagles 3-0 Excelsior | Eredivisie |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Excelsior 1-1 GO Ahead Eagles | Eredivisie |
| Apr 14, 2023 | Excelsior 2-1 GO Ahead Eagles | Eredivisie |
| Oct 29, 2022 | GO Ahead Eagles 3-1 Excelsior | Eredivisie |
Last archived meeting: Excelsior vs GO Ahead Eagles on Mar 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
GO Ahead Eagles score 2.2 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Excelsior score 2.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GO Ahead Eagles | 2.2 | 1.8 | 2 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
| Excelsior | 2.5 | 1.6 | 3 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
GO Ahead Eagles sit 8th in Eredivisie (11 points from 8 matches) and Excelsior sit 9th (11 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | GO Ahead Eagles | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 17 | 11 |
| 9 | Excelsior | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 11 |
A question about GO Ahead Eagles vs Excelsior?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for GO Ahead Eagles vs Excelsior?
- The Footlab AI model makes GO Ahead Eagles the favourite at 52%, against 22% for a draw and 26% for Excelsior.
- Where and when is GO Ahead Eagles vs Excelsior played?
- GO Ahead Eagles vs Excelsior is played on March 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at De Adelaarshorst, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.