Fortuna Sittard vs NEC Nijmegen: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 25Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Fortuna Sittard Stadion, Sittard
The Footlab AI model makes NEC Nijmegen the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Fortuna Sittard. The most likely score is 1-1. If NEC Nijmegen wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 5,243 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 10, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fortuna Sittard vs NEC Nijmegen?
NEC Nijmegen starts as the favourite with a 102-point Elo edge (2,089 vs 1,987).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Fortuna Sittard vs NEC Nijmegen
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Fortuna Sittard
5-4-1- 9A. Descotte
- 23P. Brittijn
- 22Shiloh Kiesar ’t Zand
- 52M. Ihattaren
- 7K. Peterson
- 28Justin Quincy Hubner
- 6S. van Ottele
- 12Ivo Pinto
- 8J. Dahlhaus
- 3Rodrigo Guth
- 31M. Branderhorst
NEC Nijmegen
3-4-2-1- 30B. Linssen
- 6D. Nejašmić
- 20N. Lebreton
- 9T. Chery
- 34Kevin Kers
- 99Clement Bischoff
- 35Jamiro Monteiro
- 22A. Kaplan
- 24Deveron Fonville
- 73Gabriel Brás
- 1G. Crettaz
Computed on November 10, 2026 at 03:52 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fortuna Sittard have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; NEC Nijmegen have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Telstar(home) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Feyenoord(away) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam(away) | 2-2 | KNVB Beker |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Excelsior(home) | 1-0 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 18, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen(away) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Utrecht(away) | 3-2 | Eredivisie |
| Nov 5, 2026 | Omonia Nicosia(home) | 3-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Heerenveen(away) | 0-1 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Groningen(home) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Dinamo Zagreb(away) | 4-2 | UEFA Europa League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Fortuna Sittard wins, 2 draws, 2 NEC Nijmegen wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen 2-2 Fortuna Sittard | Eredivisie |
| Feb 28, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen 2-3 Fortuna Sittard | Eredivisie |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Fortuna Sittard 3-2 NEC Nijmegen | Eredivisie |
| Jan 19, 2025 | NEC Nijmegen 4-1 Fortuna Sittard | Eredivisie |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Fortuna Sittard 0-3 NEC Nijmegen | Eredivisie |
| Apr 2, 2024 | Fortuna Sittard 1-1 NEC Nijmegen | Eredivisie |
Last archived meeting: NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard on Oct 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fortuna Sittard score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; NEC Nijmegen score 1.5 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Sittard | 1.7 | 1.6 | 2 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| NEC Nijmegen | 1.5 | 2.0 | 0 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fortuna Sittard sit 7th in Eredivisie (20 points from 12 matches) and NEC Nijmegen sit 11th (14 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Fortuna Sittard | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 20 | 20 |
| 11 | NEC Nijmegen | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 21 | 14 |
A question about Fortuna Sittard vs NEC Nijmegen?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fortuna Sittard vs NEC Nijmegen?
- The Footlab AI model makes NEC Nijmegen the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Fortuna Sittard.
- Where and when is Fortuna Sittard vs NEC Nijmegen played?
- Fortuna Sittard vs NEC Nijmegen is played on March 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Fortuna Sittard Stadion, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.