PEC Zwolle vs Willem II: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 25Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)MAC³PARK Stadion, Zwolle
The Footlab model makes PEC Zwolle the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Willem II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win PEC Zwolle vs Willem II?
A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate PEC Zwolle (1,875) and Willem II (1,820).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, PEC Zwolle have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Willem II have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Heerenveen(away) | 2-0 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Twente(away) | 1-3 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Ajax(home) | 0-2 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hannover 96(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2026 | AEK Athens FC(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen(home) | 1-4 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 8, 2026 | GO Ahead Eagles(away) | 1-4 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | OFI(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | KV Mechelen(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 11, 2026 | FC Eindhoven(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 PEC Zwolle win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Willem II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 14, 2025 | Willem II 1-2 PEC Zwolle | Eredivisie |
| Dec 13, 2024 | PEC Zwolle 0-1 Willem II | Eredivisie |
| Mar 10, 2023 | Willem II 2-3 PEC Zwolle | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 9, 2022 | PEC Zwolle 2-2 Willem II | Eerste Divisie |
| Jan 14, 2022 | PEC Zwolle 2-0 Willem II | Eredivisie |
| Aug 28, 2021 | Willem II 1-0 PEC Zwolle | Eredivisie |
Last archived meeting: Willem II vs PEC Zwolle on May 14, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
PEC Zwolle score 1.2 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Willem II score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PEC Zwolle | 1.2 | 2.3 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Willem II | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
PEC Zwolle sit 14th in Eredivisie (3 points from 3 matches) and Willem II sit 16th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | PEC Zwolle | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| 16 | Willem II | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for PEC Zwolle vs Willem II?
- The Footlab model makes PEC Zwolle the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Willem II.
- Where and when is PEC Zwolle vs Willem II played?
- PEC Zwolle vs Willem II is played on March 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at MAC³PARK Stadion, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.