PEC Zwolle vs Willem II: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 25Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)MAC³PARK Stadion, Zwolle
The Footlab AI model makes PEC Zwolle the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Willem II. The most likely score is 1-1. If PEC Zwolle wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,845 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 29, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win PEC Zwolle vs Willem II?
A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate PEC Zwolle (1,889) and Willem II (1,822).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for PEC Zwolle vs Willem II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
PEC Zwolle
4-2-3-1- 17S. van Hooijdonk
- 11D. Mbayo
- 8T. Sommer
- 25T. Oosting
- 30R. Thomas
- 37Gilles van der Wal
- 24N. Viergever
- 28S. Graves
- 3O. Aertssen
- 33D. van der Haar
- 1J. Schendelaar
Willem II
4-2-3-1- 9D. Haen
- 32V. van Crooij
- 7J. Slory
- 19Uriel van Aalst
- 6C. Twigt
- 52T. Vilhena
- 24N. Tjoe-A-On
- 3F. Stam
- 5H. ter Avest
- 23M. Dekker
- 26M. Delanghe
Computed on October 29, 2026 at 12:22 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, PEC Zwolle have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Willem II have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2026 | FC OSS(home) | 1-2 | KNVB Beker |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Utrecht(away) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 18, 2026 | GO Ahead Eagles(home) | 4-1 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Cambuur(home) | 0-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Groningen(away) | 0-3 | Eredivisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2026 | Helmond Sport(away) | 4-3 | KNVB Beker |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Cambuur(home) | 1-6 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam(away) | 2-3 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Utrecht(away) | 1-3 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Fortuna Sittard(home) | 0-1 | Eredivisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 PEC Zwolle wins, 1 draw, 2 Willem II wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 14, 2025 | Willem II 1-2 PEC Zwolle | Eredivisie |
| Dec 13, 2024 | PEC Zwolle 0-1 Willem II | Eredivisie |
| Mar 10, 2023 | Willem II 2-3 PEC Zwolle | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 9, 2022 | PEC Zwolle 2-2 Willem II | Eerste Divisie |
| Jan 14, 2022 | PEC Zwolle 2-0 Willem II | Eredivisie |
| Aug 28, 2021 | Willem II 1-0 PEC Zwolle | Eredivisie |
Last archived meeting: Willem II vs PEC Zwolle on May 14, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
PEC Zwolle score 1.1 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Willem II score 1.3 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PEC Zwolle | 1.1 | 2.3 | 1 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Willem II | 1.3 | 2.7 | 1 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
PEC Zwolle sit 15th in Eredivisie (8 points from 10 matches) and Willem II sit 18th (2 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | PEC Zwolle | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 23 | 8 |
| 18 | Willem II | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 32 | 2 |
A question about PEC Zwolle vs Willem II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for PEC Zwolle vs Willem II?
- The Footlab AI model makes PEC Zwolle the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Willem II.
- Where and when is PEC Zwolle vs Willem II played?
- PEC Zwolle vs Willem II is played on March 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at MAC³PARK Stadion, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.