Pucioasa vs Păuleşti: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 3Group 3 - 10Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Dumitru Tică Popescu, Pucioasa
The Footlab model makes Pucioasa the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Păuleşti. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pucioasa vs Păuleşti?
A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Pucioasa (1,341) and Păuleşti (1,343).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pucioasa have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Păuleşti have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | Flacăra Moreni(home) | 0-7 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Tricolorul Breaza(home) | 1-0 | Cupa României |
| May 16, 2026 | Săcele(away) | 2-1 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| May 9, 2026 | Voința Crevedia(home) | 0-3 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| May 2, 2026 | Baicoi(away) | 1-3 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | Tunari(home) | 0-3 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Blejoi(home) | 6-2 | Cupa României |
| May 15, 2026 | Braila(away) | 1-2 | Liga III - Serie 2 |
| May 9, 2026 | Petrolul 52 II(home) | 4-3 | Liga III - Serie 2 |
| May 2, 2026 | Plopeni(away) | 2-1 | Liga III - Serie 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Pucioasa win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Păuleşti win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2025 | Pucioasa 0-1 Păuleşti | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Păuleşti 2-2 Pucioasa | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Păuleşti 0-0 Pucioasa | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Oct 25, 2024 | Pucioasa 2-1 Păuleşti | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| May 3, 2024 | Păuleşti 0-2 Pucioasa | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Mar 29, 2024 | Pucioasa 1-0 Păuleşti | Liga III - Serie 4 |
How many goals should we expect?
Pucioasa score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Păuleşti score 1.5 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pucioasa | 1.3 | 1.7 | 5 | 5/15 | 10/15 |
| Păuleşti | 1.5 | 2.1 | 1 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pucioasa vs Păuleşti?
- The Footlab model makes Pucioasa the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Păuleşti.
- Where and when is Pucioasa vs Păuleşti played?
- Pucioasa vs Păuleşti is played on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Dumitru Tică Popescu, in the Liga III - Serie 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.