Puebla vs Toluca: result 1-1 and analysis
Liga MXClausura - 3Kick-off on January 27, 2024 at 01:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Cuauhtémoc, Puebla
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What was the result of Puebla vs Toluca?
Puebla and Toluca drew 1-1 on January 27, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 23′F. NavarroPuebla
- 45′R. MoralesToluca
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Puebla have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Toluca have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2024 | Necaxa(home) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
| Jan 14, 2024 | Monterrey(away) | 0-2 | Liga MX |
| Dec 4, 2023 | Tigres UANL(away) | 0-3 | Liga MX |
| Dec 1, 2023 | Tigres UANL(home) | 2-2 | Liga MX |
| Nov 13, 2023 | Cruz Azul(away) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2024 | Mazatlán(home) | 4-1 | Liga MX |
| Jan 13, 2024 | Club Queretaro(away) | 2-2 | Liga MX |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Mazatlán(away) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
| Nov 6, 2023 | Santos Laguna(away) | 1-3 | Liga MX |
| Nov 1, 2023 | Puebla(home) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Puebla win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Toluca win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2023 | Toluca 0-1 Puebla | Liga MX |
| Jun 24, 2023 | Toluca 1-1 Puebla | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 8, 2023 | Puebla 1-2 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Aug 3, 2022 | Toluca 1-1 Puebla | Liga MX |
| Apr 3, 2022 | Toluca 2-1 Puebla | Liga MX |
| Nov 6, 2021 | Puebla 1-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Puebla score 1.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Toluca score 1.6 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puebla | 1.5 | 1.6 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Toluca | 1.6 | 1.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Puebla sit 11th in Liga MX (4 points from 3 matches) and Toluca sit 3rd (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Toluca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 5 | Puebla | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 10 |
| 11 | Puebla | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy