Purmersteijn vs Gemert: prediction and stats
KNVB BekerRound of 64Kick-off on October 29, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark Purmersteijn, Purmerend
The Footlab AI model makes Gemert the favourite at 42%, against 22% for a draw and 36% for Purmersteijn. The most likely score is 1-1. If Gemert wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,771 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 28, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Purmersteijn vs Gemert?
A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Purmersteijn (1,814) and Gemert (1,857).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Purmersteijn vs Gemert
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Purmersteijn
Not enough data to predict the Purmersteijn lineup.
Gemert
4-3-3- 7R. Kemper
- 15Wout Barten
- 19Hazem Ben Rouba
- 9D. van Diepen
- 14M. Crommentuijn
- 8Brent Achten
- 4Lex Van Dijk
- 21Gijs Vercoelen
- 6Max Verkuijl
- 23T. Mezenberg
- 1Jeroen Keeris
Computed on October 28, 2026 at 06:08 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Purmersteijn have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Gemert have 5, 7 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | TEC(away) | 2-5 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Sparta Nijkerk(home) | 3-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 10, 2026 | ACV(away) | 1-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Harkemase Boys(home) | 4-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | SC Genemuiden(away) | 0-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Roosendaal(away) | 0-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Achilles Veen(home) | 2-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Noordwijk(away) | 0-4 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 4, 2026 | FC Lisse(home) | 0-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Groene Ster(away) | 2-1 | Derde Divisie |
How many goals should we expect?
Purmersteijn score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Gemert score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Purmersteijn | 1.7 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Gemert | 1.5 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Purmersteijn vs Gemert?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Purmersteijn vs Gemert?
- The Footlab AI model makes Gemert the favourite at 42%, against 22% for a draw and 36% for Purmersteijn.
- Where and when is Purmersteijn vs Gemert played?
- Purmersteijn vs Gemert is played on October 29, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Purmersteijn, in the KNVB Beker.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.