Match

Ujpest vs MTK Budapest: prediction and stats

NB IRegular Season - 26Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Szusza Ferenc Stadion, Budapest

UjpestMTK Budapest

The Footlab AI model makes Ujpest the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for MTK Budapest. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ujpest wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,555 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ujpest vs MTK Budapest?

On Elo ratings, Ujpest has 1,817 points and MTK Budapest 1,789.

58%22%20%
Ujpest winDrawMTK Budapest win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Ujpest vs MTK Budapest

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Ujpest

4-2-3-1
  1. 26M. Tijani
  1. 14E. Amenyido
  2. 88M. Ljujić
  3. 17A. Matko
  4. 11K. Horváth
  5. 27Á. Krajcsovics
  1. 94P. Stronati
  2. 3Heitor
  3. 20M. Zeke
  4. 36Ferenc Ujvary
  1. 1P. Szappanos

MTK Budapest

4-2-3-1
  1. 20Zalán Márk Kerezsi
  1. 11G. Jurek
  2. 6M. Kata
  3. 80Adrian Zeljković
  4. 77G. Komáromi
  5. 8A. G. Zubor
  1. 26V. Armalas
  2. 4I. Beriashvili
  3. 55S. Radić
  4. 13M. Timoteus
  1. 1P. Demjén

Computed on October 26, 2026 at 02:06 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ujpest have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; MTK Budapest have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ujpest
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 24, 2026Gyori ETO FC(away)0-1NB I
Oct 17, 2026Puskas Academy(home)0-1NB I
Oct 11, 2026Budapest Honved(away)1-1NB I
Oct 3, 2026Fehérvár FC(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Sep 20, 2026Zalaegerszegi TE(home)2-1NB I
MTK Budapest
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 25, 2026Ferencvarosi TC(away)0-5NB I
Oct 16, 2026Vasas(home)1-0NB I
Oct 10, 2026Paks(away)0-3NB I
Sep 20, 2026Gyori ETO FC(home)1-2NB I
Sep 12, 2026Mezokovesd-zsory(away)2-0Magyar Kupa

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Ujpest wins, 2 draws, 2 MTK Budapest wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026Ujpest 1-1 MTK BudapestNB I
Apr 4, 2026Ujpest 2-2 MTK BudapestNB I
Dec 13, 2025MTK Budapest 3-4 UjpestNB I
Aug 30, 2025Ujpest 1-2 MTK BudapestNB I
May 24, 2025MTK Budapest 1-3 UjpestNB I
Mar 1, 2025Ujpest 1-5 MTK BudapestNB I

Last archived meeting: Ujpest vs MTK Budapest on Aug 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Ujpest score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; MTK Budapest score 1.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Ujpest1.71.3210/157/15
MTK Budapest1.51.848/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Ujpest sit 7th in NB I (15 points from 11 matches) and MTK Budapest sit 9th (12 points from 11 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Ujpest11434181615
9MTK Budapest11335162212

A question about Ujpest vs MTK Budapest?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ujpest vs MTK Budapest?
The Footlab AI model makes Ujpest the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for MTK Budapest.
Where and when is Ujpest vs MTK Budapest played?
Ujpest vs MTK Budapest is played on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Szusza Ferenc Stadion, in the NB I.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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