Ujpest vs MTK Budapest: prediction and stats
NB IRegular Season - 26Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Szusza Ferenc Stadion, Budapest
The Footlab model makes Ujpest the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for MTK Budapest. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ujpest vs MTK Budapest?
A very open match: only 0 Elo points separate Ujpest (1,782) and MTK Budapest (1,782).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ujpest have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; MTK Budapest have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Paks(away) | 0-2 | NB I |
| Aug 15, 2026 | MTK Budapest(home) | 1-1 | NB I |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kisvarda FC(away) | 4-2 | NB I |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Debreceni VSC(home) | 4-2 | NB I |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Nyiregyhaza(away) | 1-2 | NB I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Nyiregyhaza(home) | 2-1 | NB I |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ujpest(away) | 1-1 | NB I |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Puskas Academy(home) | 2-3 | NB I |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Budapest Honved(away) | 3-3 | NB I |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Zalaegerszegi TE(home) | 3-0 | NB I |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Ujpest win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 MTK Budapest win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ujpest 1-1 MTK Budapest | NB I |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Ujpest 2-2 MTK Budapest | NB I |
| Dec 13, 2025 | MTK Budapest 3-4 Ujpest | NB I |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Ujpest 1-2 MTK Budapest | NB I |
| May 24, 2025 | MTK Budapest 1-3 Ujpest | NB I |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Ujpest 1-5 MTK Budapest | NB I |
Last archived meeting: Ujpest vs MTK Budapest on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ujpest score 2.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; MTK Budapest score 2.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ujpest | 2.0 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| MTK Budapest | 2.1 | 1.9 | 2 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ujpest sit 5th in NB I (7 points from 5 matches) and MTK Budapest sit 4th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | MTK Budapest | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 8 |
| 5 | Ujpest | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ujpest vs MTK Budapest?
- The Footlab model makes Ujpest the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for MTK Budapest.
- Where and when is Ujpest vs MTK Budapest played?
- Ujpest vs MTK Budapest is played on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Szusza Ferenc Stadion, in the NB I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.