West Brom vs Southampton: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 3, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)The Hawthorns, West Bromwich
The Footlab AI model makes Southampton the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for West Brom. The most likely score is 1-1. If Southampton wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,772 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win West Brom vs Southampton?
Southampton starts as the favourite with a 135-point Elo edge (2,090 vs 1,955).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for West Brom vs Southampton
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
West Brom
4-4-2- 20R. Nzingoula
- 11J. Morgan
- 21I. Price
- 15Tobias Christopher Collyer
- 8J. Molumby
- 29Harry Whitwell
- 4C. Styles
- 2C. Mepham
- 18B. Pereira
- 6G. Campbell
- 1M. O’Leary
Southampton
4-2-3-1- 9C. Larin
- 10F. Azaz
- 30J. Ward-Prowse
- 7Léo Scienza
- 4F. Downes
- 26Cameron Bragg
- 13K. Schlotterbeck
- 5J. Stephens
- 14J. Bree
- 3R. Manning
- 1Daniel Peretz
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 11:13 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, West Brom have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Southampton have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Blackburn(home) | 3-2 | Championship |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Wrexham(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Birmingham(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Wolves(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | QPR(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Bolton(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Norwich(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Portsmouth(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Wrexham(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Bristol City(home) | 4-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 West Brom wins, 2 draws, 4 Southampton wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2026 | West Brom 1-1 Southampton | Championship |
| Dec 9, 2025 | Southampton 3-2 West Brom | Championship |
| May 17, 2024 | Southampton 3-1 West Brom | Championship |
| May 12, 2024 | West Brom 0-0 Southampton | Championship |
| Feb 16, 2024 | West Brom 0-2 Southampton | Championship |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Southampton 2-1 West Brom | Championship |
Last archived meeting: West Brom vs Southampton on Mar 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
West Brom score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Southampton score 1.8 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Brom | 1.8 | 1.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Southampton | 1.8 | 1.0 | 5 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
West Brom sit 5th in Championship (20 points from 11 matches) and Southampton sit 7th (17 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | West Brom | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 20 |
| 7 | Southampton | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 17 |
A question about West Brom vs Southampton?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for West Brom vs Southampton?
- The Footlab AI model makes Southampton the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for West Brom.
- Where and when is West Brom vs Southampton played?
- West Brom vs Southampton is played on November 3, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at The Hawthorns, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.