West Brom vs Southampton: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 3, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)The Hawthorns, West Bromwich
The Footlab model makes West Brom the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Southampton. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win West Brom vs Southampton?
Southampton starts as the favourite with a 134-point Elo edge (2,034 vs 1,900).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, West Brom have 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeats; Southampton have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Burnley(home) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Norwich(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rotherham(away) | 4-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Peterborough(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Shrewsbury(away) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stoke City(home) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Watford(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Colchester(away) | 2-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Preußen Münster(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Eintracht Braunschweig(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 West Brom win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Southampton win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2026 | West Brom 1-1 Southampton | Championship |
| Dec 9, 2025 | Southampton 3-2 West Brom | Championship |
| May 17, 2024 | Southampton 3-1 West Brom | Championship |
| May 12, 2024 | West Brom 0-0 Southampton | Championship |
| Feb 16, 2024 | West Brom 0-2 Southampton | Championship |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Southampton 2-1 West Brom | Championship |
Last archived meeting: West Brom vs Southampton on Mar 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
West Brom score 2.1 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Southampton score 1.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Brom | 2.1 | 0.6 | 8 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Southampton | 1.9 | 1.0 | 4 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
West Brom sit 2nd in Championship (6 points from 2 matches) and Southampton sit 24th (-1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | West Brom | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 24 | Southampton | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for West Brom vs Southampton?
- The Footlab model makes West Brom the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Southampton.
- Where and when is West Brom vs Southampton played?
- West Brom vs Southampton is played on November 3, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at The Hawthorns, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.