Blackburn vs Stoke City: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 3, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Ewood Park, Blackburn, Lancashire
The Footlab AI model makes Blackburn the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Stoke City. The most likely score is 1-1. If Blackburn wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,793 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Blackburn vs Stoke City?
A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Blackburn (1,914) and Stoke City (1,900).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Blackburn vs Stoke City
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Blackburn
4-2-3-1- 9A. Guðjohnsen
- 25R. Morishita
- 21O. Afolayan
- 10T. Cantwell
- 31Kristi Montgomery
- 8Sam Morsy
- 15S. McLoughlin
- 2R. Alebiosu
- 3H. Pickering
- 6Tom Atcheson
- 22B. Tóth
Stoke City
3-4-3- 7J. McGlynn
- 11L. Cissé
- 13J. Devenny
- 2B. Johnson
- 8E. Galbraith
- 27El Hadji Djibril Soumaré
- 17E. Bocat
- 16B. Wilmot
- 5L. Graham
- 18B. Lawal
- 1V. Johansson
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 10:42 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Blackburn have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Stoke City have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | West Brom(away) | 2-3 | Championship |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Bristol City(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Cardiff(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Portsmouth(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Millwall(home) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Derby(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Middlesbrough(home) | 2-3 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bolton(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Sheffield Utd(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Watford(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Blackburn wins, 2 draws, 2 Stoke City wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Stoke City 1-1 Blackburn | Championship |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Blackburn 1-1 Stoke City | Championship |
| Mar 12, 2025 | Stoke City 1-0 Blackburn | Championship |
| Nov 6, 2024 | Blackburn 0-2 Stoke City | Championship |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Blackburn 3-1 Stoke City | Championship |
| Nov 25, 2023 | Stoke City 0-3 Blackburn | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Stoke City vs Blackburn on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Blackburn score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Stoke City score 1.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blackburn | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| Stoke City | 1.5 | 1.2 | 5 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Blackburn sit 10th in Championship (15 points from 11 matches) and Stoke City sit 6th (19 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Stoke City | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 16 | 19 |
| 10 | Blackburn | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 15 |
A question about Blackburn vs Stoke City?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Blackburn vs Stoke City?
- The Footlab AI model makes Blackburn the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Stoke City.
- Where and when is Blackburn vs Stoke City played?
- Blackburn vs Stoke City is played on November 3, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Ewood Park, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.