Quorn vs Bury: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 20, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Farley Way Stadium, Quorn, Leicestershire
The Footlab AI model makes Bury the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Quorn. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bury wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Quorn vs Bury?
Bury starts as the favourite with a 129-point Elo edge (1,958 vs 1,828).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Quorn vs Bury
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Quorn
Not enough data to predict the Quorn lineup.
Bury
Not enough data to predict the Bury lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 08:07 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Quorn have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Bury have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Hyde United(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Workington(home) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Ashton United(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Bamber Bridge(away) | 4-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Leamington(home) | 4-2 | FA Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Alfreton Town(away) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Stockton Town(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Bromsgrove Sporting(home) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Gainsborough Trinity(home) | 4-3 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Workington(home) | 5-1 | FA Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Quorn score 1.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Bury score 2.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quorn | 1.9 | 2.1 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Bury | 2.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Quorn sit 16th in Non League Premier - Northern (14 points from 13 matches) and Bury sit 11th (19 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Bury | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 11 | 19 |
| 16 | Quorn | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 29 | 14 |
A question about Quorn vs Bury?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Quorn vs Bury?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bury the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Quorn.
- Where and when is Quorn vs Bury played?
- Quorn vs Bury is played on October 20, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Farley Way Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 19, 2026Stockton Town5-2Bamber Bridge
- Sep 22, 2026Leek Town2-1Hyde United
- Sep 22, 2026Cleethorpes Town1-1Redcar Athletic
- Sep 29, 2026Alfreton Town1-0Guiseley AFC
- Sep 29, 2026Ilkeston Town0-1Rylands
- Sep 29, 2026Warrington TownvsGainsborough Trinity
- Sep 29, 2026Whitby Town1-2Lancaster City
- Sep 29, 2026AFC Emley1-3Workington