Match

Leek Town vs Hyde United: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 10Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)F. Ball Community Stadium, Leek, Staffordshire

Leek TownHyde United

The Footlab model makes Leek Town the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Hyde United. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Leek Town vs Hyde United?

A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Leek Town (1,772) and Hyde United (1,735).

Leek Town win44 %
Draw28 %
Hyde United win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leek Town have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Hyde United have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Leek Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Bamber Bridge(home)4-1Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 18, 2026AFC Emley(home)1-2Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 15, 2026Stockton Town(away)1-1Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 11, 2026United of Manchester(away)1-1Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 8, 2026Whitby Town(home)1-2Non League Premier - Northern
Hyde United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Avro(home)0-1Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 18, 2026United of Manchester(home)1-0Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 15, 2026Lancaster City(away)2-1Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 11, 2026Warrington Town(away)0-3Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 8, 2026AFC Emley(home)0-0Non League Premier - Northern

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Leek Town win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Hyde United win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 20, 2026Leek Town 2-2 Hyde UnitedNon League Premier - Northern
Sep 9, 2025Hyde United 1-2 Leek TownNon League Premier - Northern
Dec 7, 2024Leek Town 1-1 Hyde UnitedNon League Premier - Northern
Sep 10, 2024Hyde United 0-0 Leek TownNon League Premier - Northern

Last archived meeting: Leek Town vs Hyde United on Jan 20, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Leek Town score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Hyde United score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Leek Town1.51.059/155/15
Hyde United1.30.966/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Leek Town sit 15th in Non League Premier - Northern (5 points from 5 matches) and Hyde United sit 10th (7 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Hyde United5212357
15Leek Town5122875

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Leek Town vs Hyde United?
The Footlab model makes Leek Town the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Hyde United.
Where and when is Leek Town vs Hyde United played?
Leek Town vs Hyde United is played on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at F. Ball Community Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Leek Town and Hyde United

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