Leek Town vs Hyde United: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 10Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)F. Ball Community Stadium, Leek, Staffordshire
The Footlab model makes Leek Town the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Hyde United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leek Town vs Hyde United?
A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Leek Town (1,772) and Hyde United (1,735).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leek Town have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Hyde United have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bamber Bridge(home) | 4-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | AFC Emley(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stockton Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | United of Manchester(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Whitby Town(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Avro(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | United of Manchester(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Lancaster City(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Warrington Town(away) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | AFC Emley(home) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Leek Town win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Hyde United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2026 | Leek Town 2-2 Hyde United | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Sep 9, 2025 | Hyde United 1-2 Leek Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Dec 7, 2024 | Leek Town 1-1 Hyde United | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Sep 10, 2024 | Hyde United 0-0 Leek Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
Last archived meeting: Leek Town vs Hyde United on Jan 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Leek Town score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Hyde United score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leek Town | 1.5 | 1.0 | 5 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
| Hyde United | 1.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leek Town sit 15th in Non League Premier - Northern (5 points from 5 matches) and Hyde United sit 10th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Hyde United | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 |
| 15 | Leek Town | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leek Town vs Hyde United?
- The Footlab model makes Leek Town the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Hyde United.
- Where and when is Leek Town vs Hyde United played?
- Leek Town vs Hyde United is played on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at F. Ball Community Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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