Stockton Town vs Bamber Bridge: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 10Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Map Group UK Stadium, Stockton-on-Tees
The Footlab model makes Stockton Town the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Bamber Bridge. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stockton Town vs Bamber Bridge?
Stockton Town starts as the favourite with a 122-point Elo edge (1,782 vs 1,659).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stockton Town have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Bamber Bridge have 2, 2 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Alfreton Town(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Gainsborough Trinity(away) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Leek Town(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Ashton United(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ilkeston Town(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Leek Town(away) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Curzon Ashton(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ashton United(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Avro(home) | 1-6 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Cleethorpes Town(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Stockton Town win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Bamber Bridge win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | Bamber Bridge 2-2 Stockton Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Stockton Town 2-2 Bamber Bridge | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Stockton Town 2-2 Bamber Bridge | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 15, 2024 | Bamber Bridge 1-5 Stockton Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
Last archived meeting: Bamber Bridge vs Stockton Town on Feb 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Stockton Town score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Bamber Bridge score 0.9 and concede 2.6. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stockton Town | 0.9 | 1.4 | 3 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Bamber Bridge | 0.9 | 2.6 | 1 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stockton Town sit 17th in Non League Premier - Northern (4 points from 5 matches) and Bamber Bridge sit 20th (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Stockton Town | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
| 20 | Bamber Bridge | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stockton Town vs Bamber Bridge?
- The Footlab model makes Stockton Town the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Bamber Bridge.
- Where and when is Stockton Town vs Bamber Bridge played?
- Stockton Town vs Bamber Bridge is played on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Map Group UK Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 19, 2026Alfreton TownvsGuiseley AFC
- Sep 19, 2026Curzon AshtonvsUnited of Manchester
- Sep 19, 2026Ilkeston TownvsRylands
- Sep 19, 2026Leek TownvsHyde United
- Sep 19, 2026Cleethorpes TownvsRedcar Athletic
- Sep 19, 2026Warrington TownvsGainsborough Trinity
- Sep 19, 2026Whitby TownvsLancaster City
- Sep 19, 2026AvrovsAshton United