Avro vs Ashton United: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 21, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Vestacare Stadium, Oldham, Greater Manchester
The Footlab AI model makes Avro the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Ashton United. The most likely score is 1-1. If Avro wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Avro vs Ashton United?
Avro starts as the favourite with a 116-point Elo edge (1,886 vs 1,770).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Avro vs Ashton United
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Avro
Not enough data to predict the Avro lineup.
Ashton United
Not enough data to predict the Ashton United lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 06:27 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Avro have 10 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats; Ashton United have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Redcar Athletic(away) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Guiseley AFC(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Lancaster City(home) | 5-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Dunston UTS(away) | 2-0 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Gainsborough Trinity(away) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Alfreton Town(home) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Leek Town(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Quorn(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Warrington Town(away) | 3-2 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Buxton(away) | 0-1 | FA Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Avro score 2.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Ashton United score 1.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avro | 2.7 | 1.9 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Ashton United | 1.5 | 1.2 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Avro sit 4th in Non League Premier - Northern (25 points from 12 matches) and Ashton United sit 15th (14 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Avro | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 34 | 23 | 25 |
| 15 | Ashton United | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 13 | 14 |
A question about Avro vs Ashton United?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Avro vs Ashton United?
- The Footlab AI model makes Avro the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Ashton United.
- Where and when is Avro vs Ashton United played?
- Avro vs Ashton United is played on October 21, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Vestacare Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 19, 2026Stockton Town5-2Bamber Bridge
- Sep 22, 2026Leek Town2-1Hyde United
- Sep 22, 2026Cleethorpes Town1-1Redcar Athletic
- Sep 29, 2026Alfreton Town1-0Guiseley AFC
- Sep 29, 2026Ilkeston Town0-1Rylands
- Sep 29, 2026Warrington TownvsGainsborough Trinity
- Sep 29, 2026Whitby Town1-2Lancaster City
- Sep 29, 2026AFC Emley1-3Workington