Avro vs Ashton United: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 10Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Vestacare Stadium, Oldham, Greater Manchester
The Footlab model makes Avro the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Ashton United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Avro vs Ashton United?
Avro starts as the favourite with a 106-point Elo edge (1,860 vs 1,754).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Avro have 12 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats; Ashton United have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hyde United(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Workington(home) | 4-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Alfreton Town(away) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Bamber Bridge(away) | 6-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Quorn(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | AFC Emley(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Whitby Town(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bamber Bridge(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Stockton Town(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lancaster City(home) | 4-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
How many goals should we expect?
Avro score 3.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ashton United score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avro | 3.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 14/15 |
| Ashton United | 1.4 | 1.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Avro sit 3rd in Non League Premier - Northern (12 points from 5 matches) and Ashton United sit 5th (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Avro | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 12 |
| 5 | Ashton United | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Avro vs Ashton United?
- The Footlab model makes Avro the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Ashton United.
- Where and when is Avro vs Ashton United played?
- Avro vs Ashton United is played on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Vestacare Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 19, 2026Alfreton TownvsGuiseley AFC
- Sep 19, 2026Curzon AshtonvsUnited of Manchester
- Sep 19, 2026Ilkeston TownvsRylands
- Sep 19, 2026Leek TownvsHyde United
- Sep 19, 2026Cleethorpes TownvsRedcar Athletic
- Sep 19, 2026Warrington TownvsGainsborough Trinity
- Sep 19, 2026Whitby TownvsLancaster City
- Sep 19, 2026QuornvsBury