Where and when is Whitby Town vs Lancaster City played?

Whitby Town vs Lancaster City is played on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Towbar Express Stadium at the Turnbull Ground, in the Non League Premier - Northern.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Whitby Town vs Lancaster City: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 10Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Towbar Express Stadium at the Turnbull Ground, Whitby, North Yorkshire

Whitby Town

Lancaster City

The Footlab model makes Lancaster City the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Whitby Town. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Whitby Town vs Lancaster City?

A very open match: only 90 Elo points separate Whitby Town (1,654) and Lancaster City (1,745).

Whitby Town win25 %

Draw25 %

Lancaster City win50 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Whitby Town have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Lancaster City have 5, 5 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Whitby Town
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Warrington Town(home)	0-5	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 18, 2026	Ashton United(away)	0-2	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 15, 2026	Ilkeston Town(home)	2-0	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 11, 2026	Guiseley AFC(home)	0-2	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 8, 2026	Leek Town(away)	2-1	Non League Premier - Northern

Lancaster City
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Quorn(home)	2-2	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 18, 2026	Redcar Athletic(away)	1-3	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 15, 2026	Hyde United(home)	1-2	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 11, 2026	Rylands(home)	1-0	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 8, 2026	Ashton United(away)	1-4	Non League Premier - Northern

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Whitby Town win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Lancaster City win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 14, 2026	Whitby Town 1-3 Lancaster City	Non League Premier - Northern
Nov 1, 2025	Lancaster City 0-0 Whitby Town	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 30, 2025	Lancaster City 1-2 Whitby Town	FA Cup
Apr 5, 2025	Lancaster City 0-1 Whitby Town	Non League Premier - Northern
Nov 30, 2024	Whitby Town 3-0 Lancaster City	Non League Premier - Northern
Feb 27, 2024	Whitby Town 1-1 Lancaster City	Non League Premier - Northern

Last archived meeting: Whitby Town vs Lancaster City on Mar 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Whitby Town score 0.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Lancaster City score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Whitby Town	0.9	1.9	3	7/15	8/15
Lancaster City	1.5	1.5	5	10/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Whitby Town sit 14th in Non League Premier - Northern (6 points from 5 matches) and Lancaster City sit 18th (4 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
14	Whitby Town	5	2	0	3	4	10	6
18	Lancaster City	5	1	1	3	6	11	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Whitby Town vs Lancaster City?: The Footlab model makes Lancaster City the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Whitby Town.
Where and when is Whitby Town vs Lancaster City played?: Whitby Town vs Lancaster City is played on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Towbar Express Stadium at the Turnbull Ground, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.