Racing Santander II vs Arosa: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 14Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio La Albericia, Santander
The Footlab model makes Racing Santander II the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Arosa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Racing Santander II vs Arosa?
A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Racing Santander II (1,946) and Arosa (1,903).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Racing Santander II have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Arosa have 10, 4 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Basconia(home) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Real Avilés(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Sarriana(away) | 4-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Real Ávila(home) | 4-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Coruxo(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Pontevedra(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | Celtiga(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 2, 2026 | Cambados(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Boiro(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Barco(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Racing Santander II score 2.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Arosa score 1.7 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Racing Santander II | 2.9 | 1.8 | 3 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
| Arosa | 1.7 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Racing Santander II | 34 | 11 | 15 | 8 | 63 | 50 | 48 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Racing Santander II vs Arosa?
- The Footlab model makes Racing Santander II the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Arosa.
- Where and when is Racing Santander II vs Arosa played?
- Racing Santander II vs Arosa is played on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Albericia, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.