Racing Santander II vs Arosa: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 14Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio La Albericia, Santander
The Footlab AI model makes Racing Santander II the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Arosa. The most likely score is 1-1. If Racing Santander II wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,921 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Racing Santander II vs Arosa?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Racing Santander II (1,918) and Arosa (1,908).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Racing Santander II vs Arosa
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Racing Santander II
Not enough data to predict the Racing Santander II lineup.
Arosa
Not enough data to predict the Arosa lineup.
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 04:03 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Racing Santander II have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Arosa have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Basconia(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Real Oviedo II(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Eibar II(home) | 1-5 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Llanera(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Amorebieta(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Llanera(home) | 4-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Bergantiños(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Ourense CF(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Deportivo Alavés II(home) | 2-5 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Basconia(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Racing Santander II score 1.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Arosa score 1.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Racing Santander II | 1.9 | 1.9 | 1 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| Arosa | 1.6 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Racing Santander II sit 18th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 (4 points from 7 matches) and Arosa sit 17th (4 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Arosa | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 15 | 4 |
| 18 | Racing Santander II | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 4 |
A question about Racing Santander II vs Arosa?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Racing Santander II vs Arosa?
- The Footlab AI model makes Racing Santander II the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Arosa.
- Where and when is Racing Santander II vs Arosa played?
- Racing Santander II vs Arosa is played on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Albericia, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.