Racing Santander vs Deportivo La Coruna: prediction and stats
La LigaRegular Season - 15Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campos de Sport de El Sardinero, Santander
The Footlab model makes Racing Santander the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Deportivo La Coruna. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Racing Santander vs Deportivo La Coruna?
A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Racing Santander (2,050) and Deportivo La Coruna (2,060).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Racing Santander have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Deportivo La Coruna have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Getafe(away) | 0-1 | La Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Villarreal(home) | 2-2 | La Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Alaves(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Sporting Gijon(home) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Wolves(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Malaga(away) | 1-1 | La Liga |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Elche(home) | 1-1 | La Liga |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Real Madrid(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Genoa(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Fiorentina(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Racing Santander win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Deportivo La Coruna win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruna 0-1 Racing Santander | Segunda División |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Racing Santander 2-1 Deportivo La Coruna | Segunda División |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Racing Santander 2-1 Deportivo La Coruna | Segunda División |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Deportivo La Coruna 1-2 Racing Santander | Segunda División |
| Feb 16, 2022 | Deportivo La Coruna 0-1 Racing Santander | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 24, 2021 | Racing Santander 0-0 Deportivo La Coruna | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Deportivo La Coruna vs Racing Santander on Jan 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Racing Santander score 1.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Deportivo La Coruna score 1.3 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Racing Santander | 1.7 | 1.4 | 1 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Deportivo La Coruna | 1.3 | 0.7 | 6 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Racing Santander sit 13th in La Liga (1 points from 2 matches) and Deportivo La Coruna sit 10th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Deportivo La Coruna | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 13 | Racing Santander | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Racing Santander vs Deportivo La Coruna?
- The Footlab model makes Racing Santander the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Deportivo La Coruna.
- Where and when is Racing Santander vs Deportivo La Coruna played?
- Racing Santander vs Deportivo La Coruna is played on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campos de Sport de El Sardinero, in the La Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.