Barcelona vs Celta Vigo: prediction and stats
La LigaRegular Season - 15Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Camp Nou, Barcelona
The Footlab model makes Barcelona the favourite at 67%, against 20% for a draw and 13% for Celta Vigo. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Barcelona vs Celta Vigo?
Barcelona starts as the favourite with a 271-point Elo edge (2,389 vs 2,118).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Barcelona have 11 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; Celta Vigo have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Elche(away) | 5-0 | La Liga |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Al Ahly(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 16, 2026 | FC Basel 1893(away) | 5-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Udinese(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Nottingham Forest(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Valencia(away) | 0-0 | La Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Napoli(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Sassuolo(away) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Academico Viseu(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sporting Gijon(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Barcelona win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Celta Vigo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2026 | Barcelona 1-0 Celta Vigo | La Liga |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Celta Vigo 2-4 Barcelona | La Liga |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Barcelona 4-3 Celta Vigo | La Liga |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Celta Vigo 2-2 Barcelona | La Liga |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Celta Vigo 1-2 Barcelona | La Liga |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Barcelona 3-2 Celta Vigo | La Liga |
Last archived meeting: Barcelona vs Celta Vigo on Apr 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Barcelona score 2.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Celta Vigo score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | 2.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Celta Vigo | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Barcelona sit 4th in La Liga (3 points from 1 matches) and Celta Vigo sit 12th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Barcelona | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Celta Vigo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Barcelona vs Celta Vigo?
- The Footlab model makes Barcelona the favourite at 67%, against 20% for a draw and 13% for Celta Vigo.
- Where and when is Barcelona vs Celta Vigo played?
- Barcelona vs Celta Vigo is played on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Camp Nou, in the La Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.