Barcelona vs Celta Vigo: prediction and stats
La LigaRegular Season - 15Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Camp Nou, Barcelona
The Footlab AI model makes Barcelona the favourite at 80%, against 14% for a draw and 6% for Celta Vigo. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,460 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Barcelona vs Celta Vigo?
Barcelona is a heavy favourite: 2,435 Elo points against 2,084, a 352-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Barcelona vs Celta Vigo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Barcelona
4-3-3- 10Lamine Yamal
- 17A. Gordon
- 11Raphinha
- 16Rodri
- 20Dani Olmo
- 8Pedri
- 24Eric García
- 18Gerard Martín
- 5Pau Cubarsí Paredes
- 12X. Espart
- 1Joan García
Celta Vigo
3-4-3- 9Ferran Jutglà
- 23Hugo Álvarez
- 11Pablo Durán
- 6I. Moriba
- 17Javi Rueda
- 14Aleix Febas
- 22Javi Galán
- 18Yoel Lago
- 3Marcos Alonso
- 15Álvaro Núñez
- 13I. Radu
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 05:06 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Barcelona have 13 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat; Celta Vigo have 3, 8 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Galatasaray(away) | 4-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Getafe(home) | 3-0 | La Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Sevilla(away) | 3-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Racing Santander(home) | 7-2 | La Liga |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Levante(away) | 4-2 | La Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Juventus(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Elche(away) | 0-0 | La Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Racing Santander(home) | 5-0 | La Liga |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Omonia Nicosia(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Malaga(home) | 1-1 | La Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Barcelona wins, 1 draw, 0 Celta Vigo wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2026 | Barcelona 1-0 Celta Vigo | La Liga |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Celta Vigo 2-4 Barcelona | La Liga |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Barcelona 4-3 Celta Vigo | La Liga |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Celta Vigo 2-2 Barcelona | La Liga |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Celta Vigo 1-2 Barcelona | La Liga |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Barcelona 3-2 Celta Vigo | La Liga |
Last archived meeting: Barcelona vs Celta Vigo on Apr 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Barcelona score 3.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Celta Vigo score 1.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | 3.5 | 1.0 | 5 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Celta Vigo | 1.3 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Barcelona sit 1st in La Liga (24 points from 8 matches) and Celta Vigo sit 9th (8 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 7 | 24 |
| 9 | Celta Vigo | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 8 |
A question about Barcelona vs Celta Vigo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Barcelona vs Celta Vigo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Barcelona the favourite at 80%, against 14% for a draw and 6% for Celta Vigo.
- Where and when is Barcelona vs Celta Vigo played?
- Barcelona vs Celta Vigo is played on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Camp Nou, in the La Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.