Real Madrid II vs Gimnastic: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 35Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Alfredo Di Stéfano, Madrid
The Footlab model makes Real Madrid II the favourite at 54%, against 27% for a draw and 19% for Gimnastic. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Madrid II vs Gimnastic?
Real Madrid II starts as the favourite with a 106-point Elo edge (1,956 vs 1,849).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Madrid II have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Gimnastic have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Atlético Baleares(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Zamora(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Ponferradina(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mirandes(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Racing Ferrol(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Espanyol II(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Huesca(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Girona(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Olot(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | FC Andorra(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Real Madrid II win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Gimnastic win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2022 | Gimnastic 1-0 Real Madrid II | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 19, 2021 | Real Madrid II 2-1 Gimnastic | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Gimnastic vs Real Madrid II on Feb 6, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Real Madrid II score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Gimnastic score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid II | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Gimnastic | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Gimnastic | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 40 | 49 | 47 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Madrid II vs Gimnastic?
- The Footlab model makes Real Madrid II the favourite at 54%, against 27% for a draw and 19% for Gimnastic.
- Where and when is Real Madrid II vs Gimnastic played?
- Real Madrid II vs Gimnastic is played on May 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Alfredo Di Stéfano, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.