RB Bragantino vs Bahia: prediction and stats
Serie ARegular Season - 26Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Nabi Abi Chedid, Bragança Paulista, São Paulo
The Footlab model makes RB Bragantino the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Bahia. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 21, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win RB Bragantino vs Bahia?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate RB Bragantino (1,947) and Bahia (1,959).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, RB Bragantino have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Bahia have 2, 8 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Atletico-MG(away) | 2-2 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Atletico Paranaense(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Atletico-MG(home) | 0-1 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Corinthians(home) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Sporting Cristal(home) | 1-0 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Chapecoense-sc(away) | 3-3 | Serie A |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Vasco DA Gama(home) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Fluminense(away) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Corinthians(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Atletico-MG(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 RB Bragantino win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Bahia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | Bahia 2-0 RB Bragantino | Serie A |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Bahia 2-1 RB Bragantino | Serie A |
| Jun 12, 2025 | RB Bragantino 0-3 Bahia | Serie A |
| Sep 1, 2024 | RB Bragantino 2-1 Bahia | Serie A |
| May 12, 2024 | Bahia 1-0 RB Bragantino | Serie A |
| Aug 20, 2023 | Bahia 4-0 RB Bragantino | Serie A |
Last archived meeting: Bahia vs RB Bragantino on Mar 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
RB Bragantino score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Bahia score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB Bragantino | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Bahia | 1.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
RB Bragantino sit 7th in Serie A (32 points from 22 matches) and Bahia sit 6th (34 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bahia | 23 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 32 | 28 | 34 |
| 7 | RB Bragantino | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 23 | 32 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for RB Bragantino vs Bahia?
- The Footlab model makes RB Bragantino the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Bahia.
- Where and when is RB Bragantino vs Bahia played?
- RB Bragantino vs Bahia is played on September 6, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Nabi Abi Chedid, in the Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.