Sao Paulo vs Atletico-MG: result 2-0 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 26Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 09:30 PM (UTC)Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo (Morumbi), São Paulo, São Paulo
Full time
What was the result of Sao Paulo vs Atletico-MG?
Sao Paulo won 2-0 on September 5, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 67′LucianoSao Paulo
- 69′IagoSao Paulo
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Sao Paulo win at 46%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 2-0.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Sao Paulo vs Atletico-MG
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Sao Paulo
3-4-2-1- 10Luciano
- 43G. Santana
- 37Artur
- 18Wendell
- 8Marcos Antônio
- 94Danielzinho
- 19Lucas Ramon
- 35Sabino
- 5R. Arboleda
- 22Domingos Duarte
- 23Rafael
Atletico-MG
3-4-1-2- 11Bernard
- 19Reinier
- 15K. Castaño
- 6Renan Lodi
- 5Alexsander
- 30Victor Hugo
- 28T. Cuello
- 21A. Franco
- 40Vitor Fernandes Chaves Teixeira
- 2Natanael
- 1Gabriel Delfim
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sao Paulo have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Atletico-MG have 8, 6 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2026 | RB Bragantino(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Chapecoense-sc(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Bolívar(home) | 3-1 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Coritiba(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Bolívar(away) | 1-1 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2, 2026 | Cruzeiro(home) | 2-1 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Vitoria(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Aug 26, 2026 | Cruzeiro(away) | 1-1 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Internacional(away) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Aug 19, 2026 | RB Bragantino(home) | 2-2 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Sao Paulo win, 3 draws, 2 Atletico-MG wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | Atletico-MG 1-0 Sao Paulo | Serie A |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Sao Paulo 2-0 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Atletico-MG 0-0 Sao Paulo | Serie A |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Sao Paulo 2-2 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
| Sep 13, 2024 | Atletico-MG 0-0 Sao Paulo | Copa Do Brasil |
| Aug 29, 2024 | Sao Paulo 0-1 Atletico-MG | Copa Do Brasil |
Last archived meeting: Atletico-MG vs Sao Paulo on Mar 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sao Paulo score 1.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Atletico-MG score 1.3 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sao Paulo | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1 | 12/15 | 7/15 |
| Atletico-MG | 1.3 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sao Paulo sit 10th in Serie A (43 points from 33 matches) and Atletico-MG sit 7th (50 points from 33 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 44 | 39 | 50 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 39 | 39 | 43 |
A question about Sao Paulo vs Atletico-MG?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy