Where and when is Real Ávila vs Conquense played?

Real Ávila vs Conquense is played on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Adolfo Suárez, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Real Ávila vs Conquense: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 12Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Adolfo Suárez, Ávila

Real Ávila

Conquense

The Footlab model makes Real Ávila the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Conquense. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Real Ávila vs Conquense?

A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Real Ávila (1,889) and Conquense (1,910).

Real Ávila win42 %

Draw28 %

Conquense win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Ávila have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Conquense have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Real Ávila
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 12, 2026	Atlético Tordesillas(away)	2-0	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Unionistas de Salamanca(home)	2-0	Friendlies Clubs
May 3, 2026	Deportivo La Coruña II(home)	0-4	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 26, 2026	Racing Santander II(away)	1-4	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 19, 2026	Gimnástica Segoviana(home)	2-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1

Conquense
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 31, 2026	UD Ourense(home)	0-2	Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 24, 2026	UD Ourense(away)	0-1	Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 17, 2026	Xerez(home)	0-0	Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 9, 2026	Xerez(away)	1-1	Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 3, 2026	Real Madrid III(away)	1-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

How many goals should we expect?

Real Ávila score 1.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Conquense score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Real Ávila	1.6	1.7	5	9/15	11/15
Conquense	1.1	0.9	6	5/15	4/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Conquense	34	16	12	6	42	30	60

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Real Ávila vs Conquense?: The Footlab model makes Real Ávila the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Conquense.
Where and when is Real Ávila vs Conquense played?: Real Ávila vs Conquense is played on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Adolfo Suárez, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.