Getafe II vs RSD Alcalá: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 12Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Ciudad Deportiva de Getafe - Campo 1, Getafe
The Footlab model makes Getafe II the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for RSD Alcalá. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Getafe II vs RSD Alcalá?
A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Getafe II (1,901) and RSD Alcalá (1,875).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Getafe II have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; RSD Alcalá have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | CF Talavera(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Alcorcon(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | UD Logroñés(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 10, 2026 | UD Logroñés(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 3, 2026 | Orihuela(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Gimnástica Segoviana(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | CD Coria(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Quintanar del Rey(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano II(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Fuenlabrada(away) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Getafe II win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 RSD Alcalá win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | Getafe II 3-0 RSD Alcalá | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 28, 2025 | RSD Alcalá 1-1 Getafe II | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Aug 21, 2024 | RSD Alcalá 0-0 Getafe II | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 10, 2023 | Getafe II 0-0 RSD Alcalá | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 26, 2023 | Getafe II 0-1 RSD Alcalá | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Nov 27, 2022 | RSD Alcalá 0-0 Getafe II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
Last archived meeting: Getafe II vs RSD Alcalá on Jan 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Getafe II score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; RSD Alcalá score 1.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Getafe II | 1.3 | 1.0 | 6 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| RSD Alcalá | 1.5 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Getafe II sit 4th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 (57 points from 34 matches) and RSD Alcalá sit 6th (51 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Getafe II | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 55 | 35 | 57 |
| 6 | RSD Alcalá | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 42 | 39 | 51 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Getafe II vs RSD Alcalá?
- The Footlab model makes Getafe II the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for RSD Alcalá.
- Where and when is Getafe II vs RSD Alcalá played?
- Getafe II vs RSD Alcalá is played on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Deportiva de Getafe - Campo 1, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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