Match

Getafe II vs RSD Alcalá: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 12Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Ciudad Deportiva de Getafe - Campo 1, Getafe

Getafe IIRSD Alcalá

The Footlab model makes Getafe II the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for RSD Alcalá. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Getafe II vs RSD Alcalá?

A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Getafe II (1,901) and RSD Alcalá (1,875).

Getafe II win51 %
Draw26 %
RSD Alcalá win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Getafe II have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; RSD Alcalá have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Getafe II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 19, 2026CF Talavera(away)1-0Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026Alcorcon(away)0-2Friendlies Clubs
May 16, 2026UD Logroñés(away)1-2Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 10, 2026UD Logroñés(home)0-2Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 3, 2026Orihuela(away)1-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
RSD Alcalá
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 19, 2026Gimnástica Segoviana(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs
May 3, 2026CD Coria(home)1-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 26, 2026Quintanar del Rey(away)0-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 19, 2026Rayo Vallecano II(home)3-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 12, 2026Fuenlabrada(away)2-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Getafe II win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 RSD Alcalá win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 25, 2026Getafe II 3-0 RSD AlcaláSegunda División RFEF - Group 5
Sep 28, 2025RSD Alcalá 1-1 Getafe IISegunda División RFEF - Group 5
Aug 21, 2024RSD Alcalá 0-0 Getafe IIFriendlies Clubs
Aug 10, 2023Getafe II 0-0 RSD AlcaláFriendlies Clubs
Mar 26, 2023Getafe II 0-1 RSD AlcaláTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Nov 27, 2022RSD Alcalá 0-0 Getafe IITercera División RFEF - Group 7

Last archived meeting: Getafe II vs RSD Alcalá on Jan 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Getafe II score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; RSD Alcalá score 1.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Getafe II1.31.065/157/15
RSD Alcalá1.50.967/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Getafe II sit 4th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 (57 points from 34 matches) and RSD Alcalá sit 6th (51 points from 34 matches).

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Getafe II341699553557
6RSD Alcalá3414911423951

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Getafe II vs RSD Alcalá?
The Footlab model makes Getafe II the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for RSD Alcalá.
Where and when is Getafe II vs RSD Alcalá played?
Getafe II vs RSD Alcalá is played on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Deportiva de Getafe - Campo 1, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Getafe II and RSD Alcalá

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