Match

Real Valladolid II vs Guadalajara: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 22Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo 1 Anexos del José Zorrilla hierba natural, Valladolid

Real Valladolid IIGuadalajara

The Footlab model makes Real Valladolid II the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Guadalajara. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Real Valladolid II vs Guadalajara?

A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Real Valladolid II (1,891) and Guadalajara (1,885).

Real Valladolid II win46 %
Draw27 %
Guadalajara win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Valladolid II have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Guadalajara have 5, 5 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Real Valladolid II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 12, 2026Leganés II(home)3-3Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026Real Madrid III(home)0-1Friendlies Clubs
May 3, 2026Burgos Promesas(home)2-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 26, 2026Deportivo La Coruña II(away)1-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 19, 2026Langreo(home)3-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Guadalajara
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 18, 2026Marchamalo(away)0-1Friendlies Clubs
May 23, 2026Real Madrid II(home)2-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 17, 2026Athletic Club II(away)1-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 9, 2026Arenteiro(home)2-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 2, 2026Real Avilés(away)2-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1

How many goals should we expect?

Real Valladolid II score 2.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Guadalajara score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Real Valladolid II2.11.549/159/15
Guadalajara1.51.349/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2024-25 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Guadalajara342284602274

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Real Valladolid II vs Guadalajara?
The Footlab model makes Real Valladolid II the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Guadalajara.
Where and when is Real Valladolid II vs Guadalajara played?
Real Valladolid II vs Guadalajara is played on February 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo 1 Anexos del José Zorrilla hierba natural, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Real Valladolid II and Guadalajara

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