Match

Numancia vs Real Ávila: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 22Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Nuevo Estadio Los Pajaritos, Soria

NumanciaReal Ávila

The Footlab AI model makes Numancia the favourite at 63%, against 23% for a draw and 14% for Real Ávila. The most likely score is 2-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,564 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Numancia vs Real Ávila?

On Elo ratings, Numancia has 1,974 points and Real Ávila 1,882.

63%23%14%
Numancia winDrawReal Ávila win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Numancia vs Real Ávila

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Numancia

4-3-3
  1. 9Jony González
  2. 14Alejandro Gil Rochina
  3. 26C. Godson
  1. 8M. Gning
  2. 5O. De Frutos
  3. 6N. Lucas Rey
  1. 2Marcos Sánchez
  2. 16Carlos Gutiérrez
  3. 22Fermín Ruiz
  4. 4Ian Olivera
  1. 1M. Abad

Real Ávila

4-4-2
  1. 9D. Lorenzo
  2. 12Carlos Pérez
  1. 30M. Sarr
  2. 7Runy
  3. 16M. Ruiz
  4. 8Filipe Sissé
  1. 23G. L. Urbina
  2. 5C. Pascual
  3. 22F. Garrido Diaz
  4. 3Michael Ngaah
  1. 1O. Lopez

Computed on October 17, 2026 at 07:49 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Numancia have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Real Ávila have 7, 1 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Numancia
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Real Ávila(away)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Oct 4, 2026Getafe II(away)0-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Sep 27, 2026Guadalajara(home)1-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Sep 19, 2026SS Reyes(away)0-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Sep 13, 2026A Madrid III(home)2-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Real Ávila
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Numancia(home)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Oct 4, 2026SS Reyes(away)0-3Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Sep 27, 2026Getafe II(home)1-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Sep 20, 2026Calvo Sotelo(home)2-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Sep 13, 2026Navalcarnero(away)1-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Numancia wins, 3 draws, 0 Real Ávila wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Real Ávila 1-1 NumanciaSegunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 12, 2026Numancia 2-1 Real ÁvilaSegunda División RFEF - Group 1
Nov 9, 2025Real Ávila 0-0 NumanciaSegunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 13, 2025Numancia 2-0 Real ÁvilaSegunda División RFEF - Group 1
Nov 30, 2024Real Ávila 0-0 NumanciaSegunda División RFEF - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Real Ávila vs Numancia on Oct 11, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Numancia score 1.2 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Real Ávila score 1.4 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Numancia1.20.686/155/15
Real Ávila1.41.549/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Numancia sit 3rd in Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 (11 points from 5 matches) and Real Ávila sit 11th (6 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Numancia53205011
11Real Ávila5203586

A question about Numancia vs Real Ávila?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Numancia vs Real Ávila?
The Footlab AI model makes Numancia the favourite at 63%, against 23% for a draw and 14% for Real Ávila.
Where and when is Numancia vs Real Ávila played?
Numancia vs Real Ávila is played on February 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Nuevo Estadio Los Pajaritos, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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