Real Avilés vs CD Coria: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 25Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Román Suárez Puerta, Avilés
The Footlab model makes CD Coria the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Real Avilés. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Avilés vs CD Coria?
A very open match: only 87 Elo points separate Real Avilés (1,868) and CD Coria (1,956).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Avilés have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; CD Coria have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Sporting Gijón II(home) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mosconia(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Racing Ferrol(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Racing Santander II(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Cultural Leonesa(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Extremadura 1924(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Unionistas de Salamanca(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Valladolid(away) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 31, 2026 | Real Oviedo II(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 24, 2026 | Real Oviedo II(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
How many goals should we expect?
Real Avilés score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; CD Coria score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Avilés | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 12/15 | 8/15 |
| CD Coria | 1.9 | 1.1 | 8 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Real Avilés | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 55 | 67 | 44 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Avilés vs CD Coria?
- The Footlab model makes CD Coria the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Real Avilés.
- Where and when is Real Avilés vs CD Coria played?
- Real Avilés vs CD Coria is played on February 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Román Suárez Puerta, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 21, 2027LugovsPontevedra
- Feb 21, 2027Cultural LeonesavsUnionistas de Salamanca
- Feb 21, 2027BarakaldovsUD Logroñés
- Feb 21, 2027CacereñovsPonferradina
- Feb 21, 2027Racing FerrolvsArenas Getxo
- Feb 21, 2027ZamoravsExtremadura 1924
- Feb 21, 2027Athletic Club IIvsMirandes
- Feb 21, 2027Real UniónvsDeportivo La Coruña II