Where and when is Barakaldo vs UD Logroñés played?

Barakaldo vs UD Logroñés is played on February 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nuevo Lasesarre, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Barakaldo vs UD Logroñés: prediction and stats

Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 25Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nuevo Lasesarre, Barakaldo

Barakaldo

UD Logroñés

The Footlab model makes UD Logroñés the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Barakaldo. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Barakaldo vs UD Logroñés?

A very open match: only 86 Elo points separate Barakaldo (1,956) and UD Logroñés (2,042).

Barakaldo win35 %

Draw29 %

UD Logroñés win36 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Barakaldo have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; UD Logroñés have 10, 3 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Barakaldo
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 14, 2026	Portugalete(away)	0-2	Friendlies Clubs
May 23, 2026	Celta de Vigo II(home)	1-1	Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 17, 2026	Real Avilés(away)	4-1	Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 9, 2026	Mérida AD(home)	2-0	Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 1, 2026	Tenerife(away)	0-2	Primera División RFEF - Group 1

UD Logroñés
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Huesca II(home)	4-0	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 21, 2026	Mirandes(home)	4-0	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 14, 2026	Zaragoza(home)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 4, 2026	Huesca(away)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs
May 30, 2026	SS Reyes(away)	1-1	Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Barakaldo win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 UD Logroñés win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 17, 2024	UD Logroñés 0-0 Barakaldo	Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Nov 5, 2023	Barakaldo 1-1 UD Logroñés	Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Dec 22, 2019	Barakaldo 0-1 UD Logroñés	Primera División RFEF - Group 2

Last archived meeting: UD Logroñés vs Barakaldo on Mar 17, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Barakaldo score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; UD Logroñés score 2.0 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Barakaldo	1.3	0.9	6	5/15	5/15
UD Logroñés	2.0	0.6	9	6/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
7	Barakaldo	38	15	13	10	51	38	58

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Barakaldo vs UD Logroñés?: The Footlab model makes UD Logroñés the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Barakaldo.
Where and when is Barakaldo vs UD Logroñés played?: Barakaldo vs UD Logroñés is played on February 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nuevo Lasesarre, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.